Player Prediction Accuracy

SeasonPeriod

2026 season results

594 / 616 player-games have graded stats · 2444 graded stat observations · 85 ungraded.

70 stored game records · 272 scheduled games · 202 games without a saved snapshot · 1698 stored players without numerical projections.

Passing yards

59.2

MAE · yards

51.9%

Within ±50 yards

Sample 104 · within 54/104 · ungraded 1

Rushing yards

13.7

MAE · yards

74.4%

Within ±20 yards

Sample 383 · within 285/383 · ungraded 10

Receiving yards

21.9

MAE · yards

56.1%

Within ±20 yards

Sample 490 · within 275/490 · ungraded 21

Receptions

1.6

MAE · catches

73.3%

Within ±2 catches

Sample 490 · within 359/490 · ungraded 21

Passing TDs

0.9

MAE · TDs

62.5%

Within ±1 TDs

Sample 104 · within 65/104 · ungraded 1

Rushing TDs

0.3

MAE · TDs

96.1%

Within ±1 TDs

Sample 383 · within 368/383 · ungraded 10

Receiving TDs

0.3

MAE · TDs

98.0%

Within ±1 TDs

Sample 490 · within 480/490 · ungraded 21

Direction vs PLPIQ projection

Hypothetical comparison only: whether the final stat finished over, under or equal to the saved PLPIQ projection. These are not sportsbook-line wagers, and no sportsbook outcome is reported without a verified contemporaneous line and pregame selection.

807

Over

1327

Under

310

Equal

2444

Graded

Stat	Over	Under	Equal	n
Passing yards	56	48	0	104
Rushing yards	137	242	4	383
Receiving yards	196	293	1	490
Receptions	214	260	16	490
Passing TDs	50	50	4	104
Rushing TDs	57	155	171	383
Receiving TDs	97	279	114	490

By game — every graded locked player/stat projection, not selected examples
Game	Over	Under	Equal	Graded	Ungraded
Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX	16	37	7	60	0
Wk 6 · BAL @ CLE	8	26	8	42	5
Wk 6 · NO @ NYG	13	19	4	36	5
Wk 6 · CAR @ PHI	13	22	7	42	0
Wk 6 · PIT @ TB	17	25	7	49	0
Wk 6 · CHI @ ATL	17	23	6	46	4
Wk 6 · TEN @ IND	13	23	5	41	3
Wk 6 · NYJ @ NE	15	19	6	40	0
Wk 6 · ARI @ LAR	10	32	4	46	3
Wk 6 · LAC @ KC	11	25	5	41	3
Wk 6 · BUF @ LV	17	14	6	37	0
Wk 6 · DAL @ GB	16	29	7	52	0
Wk 6 · WSH @ SF	17	14	4	35	0
Wk 7 · NE @ CHI	24	20	6	50	3
Wk 7 · PIT @ NO	13	32	5	50	0
Wk 7 · SF @ ATL	15	18	4	37	0
Wk 7 · CLE @ TEN	18	16	6	40	5
Wk 7 · IND @ MIN	6	28	6	40	0
Wk 7 · MIA @ NYJ	22	13	8	43	0
Wk 7 · TB @ CAR	9	30	4	43	0
Wk 7 · CIN @ BAL	14	30	6	50	0
Wk 7 · NYG @ HOU	13	31	7	51	5
Wk 7 · DEN @ ARI	24	23	9	56	0
Wk 7 · GB @ DET	15	28	4	47	5
Wk 7 · LAR @ LV	14	22	6	42	3
Wk 7 · KC @ SEA	14	28	5	47	0
Wk 7 · DAL @ PHI	17	21	7	45	0
Wk 8 · CAR @ GB	16	23	1	40	0
Wk 8 · ATL @ TB	2	18	2	22	3
Wk 8 · BAL @ BUF	8	27	5	40	0
Wk 8 · TEN @ CIN	32	6	5	43	0
Wk 8 · ARI @ DAL	16	26	5	47	3
Wk 8 · IND @ JAX	14	27	4	45	0
Wk 8 · MIN @ DET	16	27	6	49	3
Wk 8 · LV @ NYJ	20	14	4	38	3
Wk 8 · CLE @ PIT	12	31	9	52	0
Wk 8 · LAC @ LAR	11	36	6	53	0
Wk 8 · KC @ DEN	14	25	3	42	0
Wk 8 · NE @ MIA	16	19	7	42	0
Wk 8 · PHI @ WSH	13	18	4	35	5
Wk 8 · CHI @ SEA	12	24	6	42	5
Wk 9 · JAX @ BAL	7	26	6	39	6
Wk 9 · CIN @ ATL	15	23	5	43	0
Wk 9 · DET @ MIA	7	33	7	47	0
Wk 9 · DAL @ IND	15	24	5	44	0
Wk 9 · DEN @ CAR	22	21	5	48	0
Wk 9 · LAR @ WSH	11	27	2	40	0
Wk 9 · NYG @ PHI	13	15	5	33	0
Wk 9 · NYJ @ KC	15	25	5	45	0
Wk 9 · CLE @ NO	12	22	5	39	5
Wk 9 · HOU @ LAC	15	27	8	50	3
Wk 9 · GB @ NE	19	17	5	41	0
Wk 9 · LV @ SF	12	25	5	42	0
Wk 9 · ARI @ SEA	12	20	7	39	5
Wk 9 · TB @ CHI	20	23	7	50	0
Wk 9 · BUF @ MIN	9	30	7	46	0

Weekly yardage MAE

Week	Passing yards · n	Rushing yards · n	Receiving yards · n
Wk 6	42.6 · 24	11.2 · 87	21.8 · 115
Wk 7	70.1 · 28	15.0 · 99	23.1 · 129
Wk 8	74.8 · 27	17.2 · 94	22.5 · 116
Wk 9	46.2 · 25	11.5 · 103	20.4 · 130

Original vs final

Nico CollinsUnder proj.
HOU · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Receiving yards
Original
79.6
Final
74.0
Error
-5.6
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Nico CollinsUnder proj.
HOU · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Receptions
Original
5.7
Final
3.0
Error
-2.7
Outside tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Nico CollinsUnder proj.
HOU · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Receiving TDs
Original
0.8
Final
0.0
Error
-0.8
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Nico CollinsOver proj.
HOU · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Rushing yards
Original
1.8
Final
5.0
Error
+3.2
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Nico CollinsEqual
HOU · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Rushing TDs
Original
0.0
Final
0.0
Error
0.0
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Parker WashingtonUnder proj.
JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Receiving yards
Original
66.4
Final
64.0
Error
-2.4
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Parker WashingtonUnder proj.
JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Receptions
Original
4.2
Final
4.0
Error
-0.2
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Parker WashingtonUnder proj.
JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Receiving TDs
Original
0.7
Final
0.0
Error
-0.7
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Parker WashingtonUnder proj.
JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Rushing yards
Original
0.4
Final
0.0
Error
-0.4
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Parker WashingtonEqual
JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Rushing TDs
Original
0.0
Final
0.0
Error
0.0
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Josh CameronUnder proj.
JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Receiving yards
Original
29.3
Final
0.0
Error
-29.3
Outside tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Josh CameronUnder proj.
JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Receptions
Original
2.0
Final
0.0
Error
-2.0
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Josh CameronUnder proj.
JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Receiving TDs
Original
0.5
Final
0.0
Error
-0.5
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Bhayshul TutenUnder proj.
JAX · RB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Rushing yards
Original
55.7
Final
39.0
Error
-16.7
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Bhayshul TutenUnder proj.
JAX · RB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Rushing TDs
Original
0.4
Final
0.0
Error
-0.4
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Bhayshul TutenOver proj.
JAX · RB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Receiving yards
Original
12.6
Final
48.0
Error
+35.4
Outside tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Bhayshul TutenOver proj.
JAX · RB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Receptions
Original
1.5
Final
4.0
Error
+2.5
Outside tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Bhayshul TutenOver proj.
JAX · RB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Receiving TDs
Original
0.0
Final
2.0
Error
+2.0
Outside tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Woody MarksOver proj.
HOU · RB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Rushing yards
Original
33.8
Final
56.0
Error
+22.2
Outside tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Woody MarksUnder proj.
HOU · RB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Rushing TDs
Original
0.3
Final
0.0
Error
-0.3
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Woody MarksOver proj.
HOU · RB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Receiving yards
Original
11.4
Final
25.0
Error
+13.6
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Woody MarksEqual
HOU · RB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Receptions
Original
2.0
Final
2.0
Error
0.0
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Woody MarksUnder proj.
HOU · RB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Receiving TDs
Original
0.1
Final
0.0
Error
-0.1
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Jakobi MeyersOver proj.
JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Receiving yards
Original
43.8
Final
83.0
Error
+39.2
Outside tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Jakobi MeyersOver proj.
JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Receptions
Original
3.5
Final
5.0
Error
+1.5
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Jakobi MeyersUnder proj.
JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Receiving TDs
Original
0.3
Final
0.0
Error
-0.3
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Jakobi MeyersUnder proj.
JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Rushing yards
Original
0.5
Final
0.0
Error
-0.5
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Jakobi MeyersEqual
JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Rushing TDs
Original
0.0
Final
0.0
Error
0.0
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Brenton StrangeUnder proj.
JAX · TE · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Receiving yards
Original
46.4
Final
44.0
Error
-2.4
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Brenton StrangeOver proj.
JAX · TE · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Receptions
Original
4.1
Final
5.0
Error
+0.9
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Brenton StrangeUnder proj.
JAX · TE · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Receiving TDs
Original
0.2
Final
0.0
Error
-0.2
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Brian Thomas Jr.Under proj.
JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Receiving yards
Original
29.4
Final
0.0
Error
-29.4
Outside tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Brian Thomas Jr.Under proj.
JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Receptions
Original
2.3
Final
0.0
Error
-2.3
Outside tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Brian Thomas Jr.Under proj.
JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Receiving TDs
Original
0.2
Final
0.0
Error
-0.2
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Brian Thomas Jr.Under proj.
JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Rushing yards
Original
0.4
Final
0.0
Error
-0.4
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Brian Thomas Jr.Equal
JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Rushing TDs
Original
0.0
Final
0.0
Error
0.0
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Jaylin NoelOver proj.
HOU · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Receiving yards
Original
38.4
Final
107.0
Error
+68.6
Outside tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Jaylin NoelOver proj.
HOU · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Receptions
Original
2.4
Final
4.0
Error
+1.6
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Jaylin NoelOver proj.
HOU · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Receiving TDs
Original
0.2
Final
1.0
Error
+0.8
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Jaylin NoelUnder proj.
HOU · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Rushing yards
Original
4.0
Final
0.0
Error
-4.0
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Jaylin NoelEqual
HOU · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Rushing TDs
Original
0.0
Final
0.0
Error
0.0
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
C.J. StroudOver proj.
HOU · QB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Passing yards
Original
262.3
Final
312.0
Error
+49.7
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
C.J. StroudOver proj.
HOU · QB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Passing TDs
Original
1.2
Final
3.0
Error
+1.8
Outside tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
C.J. StroudUnder proj.
HOU · QB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Rushing yards
Original
14.4
Final
5.0
Error
-9.4
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
C.J. StroudUnder proj.
HOU · QB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Rushing TDs
Original
0.2
Final
0.0
Error
-0.2
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Trevor LawrenceOver proj.
JAX · QB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Passing yards
Original
235.1
Final
306.0
Error
+70.9
Outside tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Trevor LawrenceOver proj.
JAX · QB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Passing TDs
Original
1.9
Final
4.0
Error
+2.1
Outside tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Trevor LawrenceUnder proj.
JAX · QB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Rushing yards
Original
14.5
Final
11.0
Error
-3.5
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Trevor LawrenceUnder proj.
JAX · QB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Rushing TDs
Original
0.2
Final
0.0
Error
-0.2
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Kayshon BoutteUnder proj.
HOU · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Receiving yards
Original
33.1
Final
16.0
Error
-17.1
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)

Locked original projections, final actuals and signed errors by player and stat
Player / stat	Original	Final	Error	Direction	Result
Nico Collins HOU · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Receiving yards pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	79.6	74.0	-5.6	Under proj.	Within tolerance
Nico Collins HOU · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Receptions pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	5.7	3.0	-2.7	Under proj.	Outside tolerance
Nico Collins HOU · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Receiving TDs pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	0.8	0.0	-0.8	Under proj.	Within tolerance
Nico Collins HOU · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Rushing yards pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	1.8	5.0	+3.2	Over proj.	Within tolerance
Nico Collins HOU · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Rushing TDs pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	0.0	0.0	0.0	Equal	Within tolerance
Parker Washington JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Receiving yards pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	66.4	64.0	-2.4	Under proj.	Within tolerance
Parker Washington JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Receptions pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	4.2	4.0	-0.2	Under proj.	Within tolerance
Parker Washington JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Receiving TDs pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	0.7	0.0	-0.7	Under proj.	Within tolerance
Parker Washington JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Rushing yards pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)	0.4	0.0	-0.4	Under proj.	Within tolerance
Parker Washington JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Rushing TDs pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)	0.0	0.0	0.0	Equal	Within tolerance
Josh Cameron JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Receiving yards pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)	29.3	0.0	-29.3	Under proj.	Outside tolerance
Josh Cameron JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Receptions pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)	2.0	0.0	-2.0	Under proj.	Within tolerance
Josh Cameron JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Receiving TDs pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)	0.5	0.0	-0.5	Under proj.	Within tolerance
Bhayshul Tuten JAX · RB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Rushing yards pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	55.7	39.0	-16.7	Under proj.	Within tolerance
Bhayshul Tuten JAX · RB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Rushing TDs pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	0.4	0.0	-0.4	Under proj.	Within tolerance
Bhayshul Tuten JAX · RB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Receiving yards pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	12.6	48.0	+35.4	Over proj.	Outside tolerance
Bhayshul Tuten JAX · RB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Receptions pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	1.5	4.0	+2.5	Over proj.	Outside tolerance
Bhayshul Tuten JAX · RB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Receiving TDs pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	0.0	2.0	+2.0	Over proj.	Outside tolerance
Woody Marks HOU · RB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Rushing yards pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	33.8	56.0	+22.2	Over proj.	Outside tolerance
Woody Marks HOU · RB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Rushing TDs pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	0.3	0.0	-0.3	Under proj.	Within tolerance
Woody Marks HOU · RB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Receiving yards pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	11.4	25.0	+13.6	Over proj.	Within tolerance
Woody Marks HOU · RB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Receptions pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	2.0	2.0	0.0	Equal	Within tolerance
Woody Marks HOU · RB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Receiving TDs pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	0.1	0.0	-0.1	Under proj.	Within tolerance
Jakobi Meyers JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Receiving yards pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	43.8	83.0	+39.2	Over proj.	Outside tolerance
Jakobi Meyers JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Receptions pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	3.5	5.0	+1.5	Over proj.	Within tolerance
Jakobi Meyers JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Receiving TDs pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	0.3	0.0	-0.3	Under proj.	Within tolerance
Jakobi Meyers JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Rushing yards pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)	0.5	0.0	-0.5	Under proj.	Within tolerance
Jakobi Meyers JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Rushing TDs pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)	0.0	0.0	0.0	Equal	Within tolerance
Brenton Strange JAX · TE · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Receiving yards pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	46.4	44.0	-2.4	Under proj.	Within tolerance
Brenton Strange JAX · TE · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Receptions pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	4.1	5.0	+0.9	Over proj.	Within tolerance
Brenton Strange JAX · TE · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Receiving TDs pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	0.2	0.0	-0.2	Under proj.	Within tolerance
Brian Thomas Jr. JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Receiving yards pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	29.4	0.0	-29.4	Under proj.	Outside tolerance
Brian Thomas Jr. JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Receptions pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	2.3	0.0	-2.3	Under proj.	Outside tolerance
Brian Thomas Jr. JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Receiving TDs pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	0.2	0.0	-0.2	Under proj.	Within tolerance
Brian Thomas Jr. JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Rushing yards pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)	0.4	0.0	-0.4	Under proj.	Within tolerance
Brian Thomas Jr. JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Rushing TDs pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)	0.0	0.0	0.0	Equal	Within tolerance
Jaylin Noel HOU · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Receiving yards pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	38.4	107.0	+68.6	Over proj.	Outside tolerance
Jaylin Noel HOU · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Receptions pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	2.4	4.0	+1.6	Over proj.	Within tolerance
Jaylin Noel HOU · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Receiving TDs pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	0.2	1.0	+0.8	Over proj.	Within tolerance
Jaylin Noel HOU · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Rushing yards pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)	4.0	0.0	-4.0	Under proj.	Within tolerance
Jaylin Noel HOU · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Rushing TDs pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)	0.0	0.0	0.0	Equal	Within tolerance
C.J. Stroud HOU · QB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Passing yards pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	262.3	312.0	+49.7	Over proj.	Within tolerance
C.J. Stroud HOU · QB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Passing TDs pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	1.2	3.0	+1.8	Over proj.	Outside tolerance
C.J. Stroud HOU · QB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Rushing yards pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	14.4	5.0	-9.4	Under proj.	Within tolerance
C.J. Stroud HOU · QB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Rushing TDs pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	0.2	0.0	-0.2	Under proj.	Within tolerance
Trevor Lawrence JAX · QB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Passing yards pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	235.1	306.0	+70.9	Over proj.	Outside tolerance
Trevor Lawrence JAX · QB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Passing TDs pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	1.9	4.0	+2.1	Over proj.	Outside tolerance
Trevor Lawrence JAX · QB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Rushing yards pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	14.5	11.0	-3.5	Under proj.	Within tolerance
Trevor Lawrence JAX · QB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Rushing TDs pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	0.2	0.0	-0.2	Under proj.	Within tolerance
Kayshon Boutte HOU · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Receiving yards pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	33.1	16.0	-17.1	Under proj.	Within tolerance

2529 observations · page 1

Not in primary view (audit)

Original locked projections for players without a pregame primary role (injury designation, no recent stats, backup QB or low projected usage). Kept unchanged for audit, excluded from every total above. Chosen from saved pregame data only, never from final results.

667 players · 2697 stat projections

Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Rushing yards: original 28.0 · final 55.0 · played (box score)
Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Rushing TDs: original 0.4 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving yards: original 1.6 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receptions: original 0.2 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Foster Moreau HOU · TE · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving yards: original 11.7 · final 7.0 · played (box score)
Foster Moreau HOU · TE · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receptions: original 1.6 · final 2.0 · played (box score)
Foster Moreau HOU · TE · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving TDs: original 0.1 · final 2.0 · played (box score)
Quintin Morris JAX · TE · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving yards: original 3.6 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Quintin Morris JAX · TE · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receptions: original 0.4 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Quintin Morris JAX · TE · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving TDs: original 0.1 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Ameer Abdullah JAX · RB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Rushing yards: original 5.5 · final 0.0 · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Ameer Abdullah JAX · RB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Rushing TDs: original 0.0 · final 0.0 · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Ameer Abdullah JAX · RB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving yards: original 1.9 · final 0.0 · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Ameer Abdullah JAX · RB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receptions: original 0.5 · final 0.0 · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Ameer Abdullah JAX · RB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final 0.0 · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Jared Wayne HOU · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving yards: original 10.5 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Jared Wayne HOU · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receptions: original 0.8 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Jared Wayne HOU · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Cade Stover HOU · TE · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving yards: original 5.4 · final 0.0 · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Cade Stover HOU · TE · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receptions: original 0.8 · final 0.0 · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Cade Stover HOU · TE · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final 0.0 · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Cade Stover HOU · TE · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Rushing yards: original 0.1 · final 5.0 · played (box score)
Cade Stover HOU · TE · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Rushing TDs: original 0.0 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Marlin Klein HOU · TE · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving yards: original 8.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Marlin Klein HOU · TE · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receptions: original 0.5 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Marlin Klein HOU · TE · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Lewis Bond HOU · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving yards: original 0.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Lewis Bond HOU · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receptions: original 0.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Lewis Bond HOU · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Brevin Jordan HOU · TE · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving yards: original 6.5 · final -1.0 · played (box score)
Brevin Jordan HOU · TE · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receptions: original 0.5 · final 1.0 · played (box score)
Brevin Jordan HOU · TE · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Nick Mullens JAX · QB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Passing yards: original 1.6 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Nick Mullens JAX · QB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Passing TDs: original 0.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Nick Mullens JAX · QB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Rushing yards: original -1.2 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Nick Mullens JAX · QB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Rushing TDs: original 0.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Nate Boerkircher JAX · TE · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving yards: original 11.0 · final 8.0 · played (box score)
Nate Boerkircher JAX · TE · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receptions: original 1.0 · final 2.0 · played (box score)
Nate Boerkircher JAX · TE · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final 1.0 · played (box score)
LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Rushing yards: original 2.7 · final 1.0 · played (box score)
LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Rushing TDs: original 0.0 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving yards: original 3.3 · final 0.0 · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receptions: original 0.7 · final 0.0 · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final 0.0 · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Devontez Walker BAL · WR · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving yards: original 21.6 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Devontez Walker BAL · WR · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receptions: original 1.1 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Devontez Walker BAL · WR · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving TDs: original 0.4 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Jaleel McLaughlin CLE · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Rushing yards: original 15.6 · final 41.0 · played (box score)
Jaleel McLaughlin CLE · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Rushing TDs: original 0.3 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Jaleel McLaughlin CLE · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving yards: original 1.4 · final 14.0 · played (box score)
Jaleel McLaughlin CLE · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receptions: original 0.2 · final 4.0 · played (box score)
Jaleel McLaughlin CLE · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Quinshon Judkins CLE · RB · Wk 6 · pregame QUESTIONABLE
Rushing yards: original 38.8 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Quinshon Judkins CLE · RB · Wk 6 · pregame QUESTIONABLE
Rushing TDs: original 0.2 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Quinshon Judkins CLE · RB · Wk 6 · pregame QUESTIONABLE
Receiving yards: original 14.4 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Quinshon Judkins CLE · RB · Wk 6 · pregame QUESTIONABLE
Receptions: original 2.5 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Quinshon Judkins CLE · RB · Wk 6 · pregame QUESTIONABLE
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Chris Moore BAL · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving yards: original 11.5 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Chris Moore BAL · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receptions: original 0.6 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Chris Moore BAL · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving TDs: original 0.1 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Blake Whiteheart CLE · TE · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving yards: original 4.0 · final 8.0 · played (box score)
Blake Whiteheart CLE · TE · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receptions: original 0.3 · final 1.0 · played (box score)
Blake Whiteheart CLE · TE · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving TDs: original 0.1 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Justice Hill BAL · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Rushing yards: original 22.0 · final 0.0 · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Justice Hill BAL · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Rushing TDs: original 0.1 · final 0.0 · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Justice Hill BAL · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving yards: original 12.4 · final 9.0 · played (box score)
Justice Hill BAL · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receptions: original 1.7 · final 3.0 · played (box score)
Justice Hill BAL · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Raheim Sanders CLE · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Rushing yards: original 12.7 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Raheim Sanders CLE · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Rushing TDs: original 0.1 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Raheim Sanders CLE · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving yards: original 12.1 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Raheim Sanders CLE · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receptions: original 1.8 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Raheim Sanders CLE · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Shedeur Sanders CLE · QB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Passing yards: original 58.3 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Shedeur Sanders CLE · QB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Passing TDs: original 0.3 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Shedeur Sanders CLE · QB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Rushing yards: original 7.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Shedeur Sanders CLE · QB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Rushing TDs: original 0.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Durham Smythe BAL · TE · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving yards: original 2.1 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Durham Smythe BAL · TE · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receptions: original 0.4 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Durham Smythe BAL · TE · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
LaJohntay Wester BAL · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving yards: original 7.3 · final 0.0 · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
LaJohntay Wester BAL · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receptions: original 0.8 · final 0.0 · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
LaJohntay Wester BAL · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final 0.0 · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Ja'Kobi Lane BAL · WR · Wk 6 · pregame QUESTIONABLE
Receiving yards: original 8.8 · final 40.0 · played (box score)
Ja'Kobi Lane BAL · WR · Wk 6 · pregame QUESTIONABLE
Receptions: original 0.8 · final 4.0 · played (box score)
Ja'Kobi Lane BAL · WR · Wk 6 · pregame QUESTIONABLE
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Josh Cuevas BAL · TE · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving yards: original 20.0 · final 44.0 · played (box score)
Josh Cuevas BAL · TE · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receptions: original 1.5 · final 4.0 · played (box score)
Josh Cuevas BAL · TE · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final 1.0 · played (box score)
Elijah Sarratt BAL · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving yards: original 6.5 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Elijah Sarratt BAL · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receptions: original 0.5 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Elijah Sarratt BAL · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Michael Burton CLE · FB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Rushing yards: original 0.0 · final 2.0 · played (box score)
Michael Burton CLE · FB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Rushing TDs: original 0.0 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Michael Burton CLE · FB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving yards: original 0.0 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Michael Burton CLE · FB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receptions: original 0.0 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Michael Burton CLE · FB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Noah Fant NO · TE · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving yards: original 23.5 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Noah Fant NO · TE · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receptions: original 2.8 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Noah Fant NO · TE · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving TDs: original 0.7 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Alvin Kamara NO · RB · Wk 6 · pregame QUESTIONABLE
Rushing yards: original 22.9 · final 34.0 · played (box score)
Alvin Kamara NO · RB · Wk 6 · pregame QUESTIONABLE
Rushing TDs: original 0.3 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Alvin Kamara NO · RB · Wk 6 · pregame QUESTIONABLE
Receiving yards: original 10.0 · final 35.0 · played (box score)
Alvin Kamara NO · RB · Wk 6 · pregame QUESTIONABLE
Receptions: original 2.5 · final 2.0 · played (box score)
Alvin Kamara NO · RB · Wk 6 · pregame QUESTIONABLE
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final 1.0 · played (box score)
J.J. McCarthy NYG · QB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Passing yards: original 108.8 · final 243.0 · played (box score)
J.J. McCarthy NYG · QB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Passing TDs: original 0.7 · final 1.0 · played (box score)
J.J. McCarthy NYG · QB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Rushing yards: original 12.7 · final 26.0 · played (box score)
J.J. McCarthy NYG · QB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Rushing TDs: original 0.3 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Chris Olave NO · WR · Wk 6 · pregame QUESTIONABLE
Receiving yards: original 78.0 · final 43.0 · played (box score)
Chris Olave NO · WR · Wk 6 · pregame QUESTIONABLE
Receptions: original 5.9 · final 4.0 · played (box score)
Chris Olave NO · WR · Wk 6 · pregame QUESTIONABLE
Receiving TDs: original 0.2 · final 1.0 · played (box score)
Devin Singletary NYG · RB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Rushing yards: original 9.6 · final 14.0 · played (box score)
Devin Singletary NYG · RB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Rushing TDs: original 0.1 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Devin Singletary NYG · RB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving yards: original 5.0 · final 19.0 · played (box score)
Devin Singletary NYG · RB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receptions: original 0.8 · final 1.0 · played (box score)
Devin Singletary NYG · RB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving TDs: original 0.1 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Jaxson Dart NYG · QB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Passing yards: original 71.8 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Jaxson Dart NYG · QB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Passing TDs: original 0.6 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Jaxson Dart NYG · QB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Rushing yards: original 15.4 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Jaxson Dart NYG · QB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Rushing TDs: original 0.2 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Travis Etienne NO · RB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Rushing yards: original 25.8 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Travis Etienne NO · RB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Rushing TDs: original 0.1 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Travis Etienne NO · RB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving yards: original 8.5 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Travis Etienne NO · RB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receptions: original 1.5 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Travis Etienne NO · RB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving TDs: original 0.1 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Tyrone Tracy Jr. NYG · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Rushing yards: original 20.1 · final 18.0 · played (box score)
Tyrone Tracy Jr. NYG · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Rushing TDs: original 0.0 · final 1.0 · played (box score)
Tyrone Tracy Jr. NYG · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving yards: original 10.6 · final 27.0 · played (box score)
Tyrone Tracy Jr. NYG · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receptions: original 1.1 · final 2.0 · played (box score)
Tyrone Tracy Jr. NYG · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final 1.0 · played (box score)
Kevin Austin Jr. NO · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving yards: original 10.5 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Kevin Austin Jr. NO · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receptions: original 1.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Kevin Austin Jr. NO · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving TDs: original 0.1 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Barion Brown NO · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving yards: original 0.0 · final 5.0 · played (box score)
Barion Brown NO · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receptions: original 0.0 · final 1.0 · played (box score)
Barion Brown NO · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Barion Brown NO · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Rushing yards: original -0.5 · final 0.0 · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Barion Brown NO · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Rushing TDs: original 0.0 · final 0.0 · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
CJ Donaldson NO · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Rushing yards: original 8.4 · final 39.0 · played (box score)
CJ Donaldson NO · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Rushing TDs: original 0.0 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
CJ Donaldson NO · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving yards: original 2.0 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
CJ Donaldson NO · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receptions: original 0.8 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
CJ Donaldson NO · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Oscar Delp NO · TE · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving yards: original 4.0 · final 10.0 · played (box score)
Oscar Delp NO · TE · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receptions: original 0.5 · final 2.0 · played (box score)
Oscar Delp NO · TE · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Treyton Welch NO · TE · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving yards: original 0.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Treyton Welch NO · TE · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receptions: original 0.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Treyton Welch NO · TE · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Patrick Ricard NYG · RB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Rushing yards: original 0.3 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Patrick Ricard NYG · RB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Rushing TDs: original 0.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Patrick Ricard NYG · RB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving yards: original 0.8 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Patrick Ricard NYG · RB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receptions: original 0.2 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Patrick Ricard NYG · RB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Najee Harris NYG · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Rushing yards: original 22.9 · final 2.0 · played (box score)
Najee Harris NYG · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Rushing TDs: original 0.0 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Najee Harris NYG · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving yards: original 3.6 · final 0.0 · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Najee Harris NYG · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receptions: original 0.5 · final 0.0 · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Najee Harris NYG · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final 0.0 · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Odell Beckham Jr. NYG · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving yards: original 0.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Odell Beckham Jr. NYG · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receptions: original 0.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Odell Beckham Jr. NYG · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Braxton Berrios NYG · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving yards: original 6.2 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Braxton Berrios NYG · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receptions: original 1.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Braxton Berrios NYG · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Jalen Coker CAR · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving yards: original 29.4 · final 97.0 · played (box score)
Jalen Coker CAR · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receptions: original 2.4 · final 6.0 · played (box score)
Jalen Coker CAR · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving TDs: original 0.3 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
DeVonta Smith PHI · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving yards: original 35.4 · final 75.0 · played (box score)
DeVonta Smith PHI · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receptions: original 2.8 · final 7.0 · played (box score)
DeVonta Smith PHI · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving TDs: original 0.1 · final 1.0 · played (box score)
Zach Ertz PHI · TE · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving yards: original 19.9 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Zach Ertz PHI · TE · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receptions: original 2.1 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Zach Ertz PHI · TE · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving TDs: original 0.1 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Tank Bigsby PHI · RB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Rushing yards: original 13.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Tank Bigsby PHI · RB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Rushing TDs: original 0.1 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Tank Bigsby PHI · RB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving yards: original 1.3 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Tank Bigsby PHI · RB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receptions: original 0.3 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Tank Bigsby PHI · RB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Marquise Brown PHI · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving yards: original 12.2 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Marquise Brown PHI · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receptions: original 1.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Marquise Brown PHI · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving TDs: original 0.1 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Marquise Brown PHI · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Rushing yards: original 2.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Marquise Brown PHI · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Rushing TDs: original 0.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Mitchell Evans CAR · TE · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving yards: original 15.4 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Mitchell Evans CAR · TE · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receptions: original 1.5 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Mitchell Evans CAR · TE · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving TDs: original 0.1 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Xavier Legette CAR · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving yards: original 14.1 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Xavier Legette CAR · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receptions: original 0.8 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Xavier Legette CAR · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving TDs: original 0.1 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Tommy Tremble CAR · TE · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving yards: original 19.2 · final 46.0 · played (box score)
Tommy Tremble CAR · TE · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receptions: original 2.4 · final 4.0 · played (box score)
Tommy Tremble CAR · TE · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final 2.0 · played (box score)
Kenny Pickett CAR · QB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Passing yards: original 7.8 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Kenny Pickett CAR · QB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Passing TDs: original 0.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Kenny Pickett CAR · QB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Rushing yards: original 3.4 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Kenny Pickett CAR · QB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Rushing TDs: original 0.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Jonathon Brooks CAR · RB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Rushing yards: original 7.5 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded

Coverage & grading

MAE is mean absolute error in each stat’s own units. Signed error = final − original. Tolerances are fixed display benchmarks, not betting confidence: passing ±50 yards; rushing/receiving ±20 yards; receptions ±2; each TD count ±1. Season results pool observations, not weekly averages.

Primary view: players with a pregame primary role from the saved snapshot only — no injury designation and recent stats, plus the team’s top projected QB, WRs with 3+ projected targets, the top TE, and RBs with 8+ projected opportunities and 20%+ of the backfield share. Saved snapshots hold no verified lineup feed, so this is a pregame projected role, not a confirmed starter. Everyone else is listed under the audit section and never pooled. Missing records and players absent from the final ESPN box score are ungraded, never assumed zero or confirmed DNP. A player who appears in the final box score but not in a stat category (e.g. no carries) is graded as a confirmed 0 and labeled so. Participation is box-score evidence only; no starter status is inferred from a projection. Explicit matched zeros are graded. In-game injuries cannot be separately identified from this feed. Different original model versions remain identified; no prediction is recalculated.

Only final games with a verified event ID, matching team and exact player crosswalk are graded. Saved capture must precede stored kickoff. No results are written back. Missing snapshots cannot be reconstructed. Future games count as ungraded coverage, not failures.

Over/under/equal compares final stats to PLPIQ’s own saved projection only. It is a hypothetical model-performance measure, not a sportsbook-line result; PLPIQ publishes no player sportsbook lines, and no wager outcome is labeled unless verified contemporaneous lines and pregame selections exist — none do today.

Final feeds are cached best-effort for one hour; schedules for five minutes. Missing feeds remain ungraded.