Player Prediction Accuracy

SeasonPeriod

Week 6 results

139 / 145 player-games have graded stats · 567 graded stat observations · 23 ungraded.

13 stored game records · 14 scheduled games · 1 games without a saved snapshot · 22 stored players without numerical projections.

Passing yards

42.6

MAE · yards

62.5%

Within ±50 yards

Sample 24 · within 15/24 · ungraded 1

Rushing yards

11.2

MAE · yards

79.3%

Within ±20 yards

Sample 87 · within 69/87 · ungraded 3

Receiving yards

21.8

MAE · yards

53.0%

Within ±20 yards

Sample 115 · within 61/115 · ungraded 5

Receptions

1.8

MAE · catches

70.4%

Within ±2 catches

Sample 115 · within 81/115 · ungraded 5

Passing TDs

0.9

MAE · TDs

58.3%

Within ±1 TDs

Sample 24 · within 14/24 · ungraded 1

Rushing TDs

0.2

MAE · TDs

94.3%

Within ±1 TDs

Sample 87 · within 82/87 · ungraded 3

Receiving TDs

0.4

MAE · TDs

97.4%

Within ±1 TDs

Sample 115 · within 112/115 · ungraded 5

Direction vs PLPIQ projection

Hypothetical comparison only: whether the final stat finished over, under or equal to the saved PLPIQ projection. These are not sportsbook-line wagers, and no sportsbook outcome is reported without a verified contemporaneous line and pregame selection.

183

Over

308

Under

Equal

567

Graded

Stat	Over	Under	Equal	n
Passing yards	15	9	0	24
Rushing yards	27	59	1	87
Receiving yards	45	69	1	115
Receptions	53	57	5	115
Passing TDs	12	10	2	24
Rushing TDs	9	36	42	87
Receiving TDs	22	68	25	115

By game — every graded locked player/stat projection, not selected examples
Game	Over	Under	Equal	Graded	Ungraded
Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX	16	37	7	60	0
Wk 6 · CHI @ ATL	17	23	6	46	4
Wk 6 · TEN @ IND	13	23	5	41	3
Wk 6 · NYJ @ NE	15	19	6	40	0
Wk 6 · NO @ NYG	13	19	4	36	5
Wk 6 · CAR @ PHI	13	22	7	42	0
Wk 6 · PIT @ TB	17	25	7	49	0
Wk 6 · BAL @ CLE	8	26	8	42	5
Wk 6 · ARI @ LAR	10	32	4	46	3
Wk 6 · LAC @ KC	11	25	5	41	3
Wk 6 · BUF @ LV	17	14	6	37	0
Wk 6 · DAL @ GB	16	29	7	52	0
Wk 6 · WSH @ SF	17	14	4	35	0

Original vs final

Nico CollinsUnder proj.
HOU · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Receiving yards
Original
79.6
Final
74.0
Error
-5.6
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Nico CollinsUnder proj.
HOU · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Receptions
Original
5.7
Final
3.0
Error
-2.7
Outside tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Nico CollinsUnder proj.
HOU · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Receiving TDs
Original
0.8
Final
0.0
Error
-0.8
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Nico CollinsOver proj.
HOU · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Rushing yards
Original
1.8
Final
5.0
Error
+3.2
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Nico CollinsEqual
HOU · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Rushing TDs
Original
0.0
Final
0.0
Error
0.0
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Parker WashingtonUnder proj.
JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Receiving yards
Original
66.4
Final
64.0
Error
-2.4
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Parker WashingtonUnder proj.
JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Receptions
Original
4.2
Final
4.0
Error
-0.2
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Parker WashingtonUnder proj.
JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Receiving TDs
Original
0.7
Final
0.0
Error
-0.7
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Parker WashingtonUnder proj.
JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Rushing yards
Original
0.4
Final
0.0
Error
-0.4
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Parker WashingtonEqual
JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Rushing TDs
Original
0.0
Final
0.0
Error
0.0
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Josh CameronUnder proj.
JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Receiving yards
Original
29.3
Final
0.0
Error
-29.3
Outside tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Josh CameronUnder proj.
JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Receptions
Original
2.0
Final
0.0
Error
-2.0
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Josh CameronUnder proj.
JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Receiving TDs
Original
0.5
Final
0.0
Error
-0.5
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Bhayshul TutenUnder proj.
JAX · RB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Rushing yards
Original
55.7
Final
39.0
Error
-16.7
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Bhayshul TutenUnder proj.
JAX · RB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Rushing TDs
Original
0.4
Final
0.0
Error
-0.4
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Bhayshul TutenOver proj.
JAX · RB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Receiving yards
Original
12.6
Final
48.0
Error
+35.4
Outside tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Bhayshul TutenOver proj.
JAX · RB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Receptions
Original
1.5
Final
4.0
Error
+2.5
Outside tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Bhayshul TutenOver proj.
JAX · RB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Receiving TDs
Original
0.0
Final
2.0
Error
+2.0
Outside tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Woody MarksOver proj.
HOU · RB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Rushing yards
Original
33.8
Final
56.0
Error
+22.2
Outside tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Woody MarksUnder proj.
HOU · RB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Rushing TDs
Original
0.3
Final
0.0
Error
-0.3
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Woody MarksOver proj.
HOU · RB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Receiving yards
Original
11.4
Final
25.0
Error
+13.6
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Woody MarksEqual
HOU · RB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Receptions
Original
2.0
Final
2.0
Error
0.0
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Woody MarksUnder proj.
HOU · RB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Receiving TDs
Original
0.1
Final
0.0
Error
-0.1
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Jakobi MeyersOver proj.
JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Receiving yards
Original
43.8
Final
83.0
Error
+39.2
Outside tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Jakobi MeyersOver proj.
JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Receptions
Original
3.5
Final
5.0
Error
+1.5
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Jakobi MeyersUnder proj.
JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Receiving TDs
Original
0.3
Final
0.0
Error
-0.3
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Jakobi MeyersUnder proj.
JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Rushing yards
Original
0.5
Final
0.0
Error
-0.5
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Jakobi MeyersEqual
JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Rushing TDs
Original
0.0
Final
0.0
Error
0.0
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Brenton StrangeUnder proj.
JAX · TE · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Receiving yards
Original
46.4
Final
44.0
Error
-2.4
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Brenton StrangeOver proj.
JAX · TE · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Receptions
Original
4.1
Final
5.0
Error
+0.9
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Brenton StrangeUnder proj.
JAX · TE · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Receiving TDs
Original
0.2
Final
0.0
Error
-0.2
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Brian Thomas Jr.Under proj.
JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Receiving yards
Original
29.4
Final
0.0
Error
-29.4
Outside tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Brian Thomas Jr.Under proj.
JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Receptions
Original
2.3
Final
0.0
Error
-2.3
Outside tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Brian Thomas Jr.Under proj.
JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Receiving TDs
Original
0.2
Final
0.0
Error
-0.2
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Brian Thomas Jr.Under proj.
JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Rushing yards
Original
0.4
Final
0.0
Error
-0.4
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Brian Thomas Jr.Equal
JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Rushing TDs
Original
0.0
Final
0.0
Error
0.0
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Jaylin NoelOver proj.
HOU · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Receiving yards
Original
38.4
Final
107.0
Error
+68.6
Outside tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Jaylin NoelOver proj.
HOU · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Receptions
Original
2.4
Final
4.0
Error
+1.6
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Jaylin NoelOver proj.
HOU · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Receiving TDs
Original
0.2
Final
1.0
Error
+0.8
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Jaylin NoelUnder proj.
HOU · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Rushing yards
Original
4.0
Final
0.0
Error
-4.0
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Jaylin NoelEqual
HOU · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Rushing TDs
Original
0.0
Final
0.0
Error
0.0
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
C.J. StroudOver proj.
HOU · QB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Passing yards
Original
262.3
Final
312.0
Error
+49.7
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
C.J. StroudOver proj.
HOU · QB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Passing TDs
Original
1.2
Final
3.0
Error
+1.8
Outside tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
C.J. StroudUnder proj.
HOU · QB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Rushing yards
Original
14.4
Final
5.0
Error
-9.4
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
C.J. StroudUnder proj.
HOU · QB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Rushing TDs
Original
0.2
Final
0.0
Error
-0.2
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Trevor LawrenceOver proj.
JAX · QB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Passing yards
Original
235.1
Final
306.0
Error
+70.9
Outside tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Trevor LawrenceOver proj.
JAX · QB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Passing TDs
Original
1.9
Final
4.0
Error
+2.1
Outside tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Trevor LawrenceUnder proj.
JAX · QB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Rushing yards
Original
14.5
Final
11.0
Error
-3.5
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Trevor LawrenceUnder proj.
JAX · QB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Rushing TDs
Original
0.2
Final
0.0
Error
-0.2
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)
Kayshon BoutteUnder proj.
HOU · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX
Receiving yards
Original
33.1
Final
16.0
Error
-17.1
Within tolerance
pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)

Locked original projections, final actuals and signed errors by player and stat
Player / stat	Original	Final	Error	Direction	Result
Nico Collins HOU · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Receiving yards pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	79.6	74.0	-5.6	Under proj.	Within tolerance
Nico Collins HOU · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Receptions pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	5.7	3.0	-2.7	Under proj.	Outside tolerance
Nico Collins HOU · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Receiving TDs pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	0.8	0.0	-0.8	Under proj.	Within tolerance
Nico Collins HOU · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Rushing yards pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	1.8	5.0	+3.2	Over proj.	Within tolerance
Nico Collins HOU · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Rushing TDs pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	0.0	0.0	0.0	Equal	Within tolerance
Parker Washington JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Receiving yards pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	66.4	64.0	-2.4	Under proj.	Within tolerance
Parker Washington JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Receptions pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	4.2	4.0	-0.2	Under proj.	Within tolerance
Parker Washington JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Receiving TDs pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	0.7	0.0	-0.7	Under proj.	Within tolerance
Parker Washington JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Rushing yards pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)	0.4	0.0	-0.4	Under proj.	Within tolerance
Parker Washington JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Rushing TDs pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)	0.0	0.0	0.0	Equal	Within tolerance
Josh Cameron JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Receiving yards pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)	29.3	0.0	-29.3	Under proj.	Outside tolerance
Josh Cameron JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Receptions pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)	2.0	0.0	-2.0	Under proj.	Within tolerance
Josh Cameron JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Receiving TDs pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)	0.5	0.0	-0.5	Under proj.	Within tolerance
Bhayshul Tuten JAX · RB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Rushing yards pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	55.7	39.0	-16.7	Under proj.	Within tolerance
Bhayshul Tuten JAX · RB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Rushing TDs pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	0.4	0.0	-0.4	Under proj.	Within tolerance
Bhayshul Tuten JAX · RB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Receiving yards pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	12.6	48.0	+35.4	Over proj.	Outside tolerance
Bhayshul Tuten JAX · RB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Receptions pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	1.5	4.0	+2.5	Over proj.	Outside tolerance
Bhayshul Tuten JAX · RB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Receiving TDs pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	0.0	2.0	+2.0	Over proj.	Outside tolerance
Woody Marks HOU · RB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Rushing yards pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	33.8	56.0	+22.2	Over proj.	Outside tolerance
Woody Marks HOU · RB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Rushing TDs pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	0.3	0.0	-0.3	Under proj.	Within tolerance
Woody Marks HOU · RB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Receiving yards pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	11.4	25.0	+13.6	Over proj.	Within tolerance
Woody Marks HOU · RB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Receptions pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	2.0	2.0	0.0	Equal	Within tolerance
Woody Marks HOU · RB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Receiving TDs pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	0.1	0.0	-0.1	Under proj.	Within tolerance
Jakobi Meyers JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Receiving yards pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	43.8	83.0	+39.2	Over proj.	Outside tolerance
Jakobi Meyers JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Receptions pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	3.5	5.0	+1.5	Over proj.	Within tolerance
Jakobi Meyers JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Receiving TDs pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	0.3	0.0	-0.3	Under proj.	Within tolerance
Jakobi Meyers JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Rushing yards pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)	0.5	0.0	-0.5	Under proj.	Within tolerance
Jakobi Meyers JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Rushing TDs pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)	0.0	0.0	0.0	Equal	Within tolerance
Brenton Strange JAX · TE · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Receiving yards pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	46.4	44.0	-2.4	Under proj.	Within tolerance
Brenton Strange JAX · TE · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Receptions pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	4.1	5.0	+0.9	Over proj.	Within tolerance
Brenton Strange JAX · TE · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Receiving TDs pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	0.2	0.0	-0.2	Under proj.	Within tolerance
Brian Thomas Jr. JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Receiving yards pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	29.4	0.0	-29.4	Under proj.	Outside tolerance
Brian Thomas Jr. JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Receptions pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	2.3	0.0	-2.3	Under proj.	Outside tolerance
Brian Thomas Jr. JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Receiving TDs pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	0.2	0.0	-0.2	Under proj.	Within tolerance
Brian Thomas Jr. JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Rushing yards pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)	0.4	0.0	-0.4	Under proj.	Within tolerance
Brian Thomas Jr. JAX · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Rushing TDs pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)	0.0	0.0	0.0	Equal	Within tolerance
Jaylin Noel HOU · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Receiving yards pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	38.4	107.0	+68.6	Over proj.	Outside tolerance
Jaylin Noel HOU · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Receptions pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	2.4	4.0	+1.6	Over proj.	Within tolerance
Jaylin Noel HOU · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Receiving TDs pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	0.2	1.0	+0.8	Over proj.	Within tolerance
Jaylin Noel HOU · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Rushing yards pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)	4.0	0.0	-4.0	Under proj.	Within tolerance
Jaylin Noel HOU · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Rushing TDs pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)	0.0	0.0	0.0	Equal	Within tolerance
C.J. Stroud HOU · QB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Passing yards pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	262.3	312.0	+49.7	Over proj.	Within tolerance
C.J. Stroud HOU · QB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Passing TDs pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	1.2	3.0	+1.8	Over proj.	Outside tolerance
C.J. Stroud HOU · QB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Rushing yards pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	14.4	5.0	-9.4	Under proj.	Within tolerance
C.J. Stroud HOU · QB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Rushing TDs pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	0.2	0.0	-0.2	Under proj.	Within tolerance
Trevor Lawrence JAX · QB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Passing yards pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	235.1	306.0	+70.9	Over proj.	Outside tolerance
Trevor Lawrence JAX · QB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Passing TDs pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	1.9	4.0	+2.1	Over proj.	Outside tolerance
Trevor Lawrence JAX · QB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Rushing yards pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	14.5	11.0	-3.5	Under proj.	Within tolerance
Trevor Lawrence JAX · QB · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Rushing TDs pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	0.2	0.0	-0.2	Under proj.	Within tolerance
Kayshon Boutte HOU · WR · Wk 6 · HOU @ JAX Receiving yards pp-1.0.0 · pregame EXPECTED · played (box score)	33.1	16.0	-17.1	Under proj.	Within tolerance

590 observations · page 1

Not in primary view (audit)

Original locked projections for players without a pregame primary role (injury designation, no recent stats, backup QB or low projected usage). Kept unchanged for audit, excluded from every total above. Chosen from saved pregame data only, never from final results.

203 players · 793 stat projections

Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Rushing yards: original 28.0 · final 55.0 · played (box score)
Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Rushing TDs: original 0.4 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving yards: original 1.6 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receptions: original 0.2 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Foster Moreau HOU · TE · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving yards: original 11.7 · final 7.0 · played (box score)
Foster Moreau HOU · TE · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receptions: original 1.6 · final 2.0 · played (box score)
Foster Moreau HOU · TE · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving TDs: original 0.1 · final 2.0 · played (box score)
Quintin Morris JAX · TE · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving yards: original 3.6 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Quintin Morris JAX · TE · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receptions: original 0.4 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Quintin Morris JAX · TE · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving TDs: original 0.1 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Ameer Abdullah JAX · RB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Rushing yards: original 5.5 · final 0.0 · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Ameer Abdullah JAX · RB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Rushing TDs: original 0.0 · final 0.0 · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Ameer Abdullah JAX · RB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving yards: original 1.9 · final 0.0 · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Ameer Abdullah JAX · RB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receptions: original 0.5 · final 0.0 · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Ameer Abdullah JAX · RB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final 0.0 · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Jared Wayne HOU · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving yards: original 10.5 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Jared Wayne HOU · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receptions: original 0.8 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Jared Wayne HOU · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Cade Stover HOU · TE · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving yards: original 5.4 · final 0.0 · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Cade Stover HOU · TE · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receptions: original 0.8 · final 0.0 · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Cade Stover HOU · TE · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final 0.0 · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Cade Stover HOU · TE · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Rushing yards: original 0.1 · final 5.0 · played (box score)
Cade Stover HOU · TE · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Rushing TDs: original 0.0 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Marlin Klein HOU · TE · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving yards: original 8.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Marlin Klein HOU · TE · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receptions: original 0.5 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Marlin Klein HOU · TE · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Lewis Bond HOU · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving yards: original 0.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Lewis Bond HOU · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receptions: original 0.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Lewis Bond HOU · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Brevin Jordan HOU · TE · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving yards: original 6.5 · final -1.0 · played (box score)
Brevin Jordan HOU · TE · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receptions: original 0.5 · final 1.0 · played (box score)
Brevin Jordan HOU · TE · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Nick Mullens JAX · QB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Passing yards: original 1.6 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Nick Mullens JAX · QB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Passing TDs: original 0.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Nick Mullens JAX · QB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Rushing yards: original -1.2 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Nick Mullens JAX · QB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Rushing TDs: original 0.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Nate Boerkircher JAX · TE · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving yards: original 11.0 · final 8.0 · played (box score)
Nate Boerkircher JAX · TE · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receptions: original 1.0 · final 2.0 · played (box score)
Nate Boerkircher JAX · TE · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final 1.0 · played (box score)
LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Rushing yards: original 2.7 · final 1.0 · played (box score)
LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Rushing TDs: original 0.0 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving yards: original 3.3 · final 0.0 · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receptions: original 0.7 · final 0.0 · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final 0.0 · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Jahdae Walker CHI · WR · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving yards: original 14.8 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Jahdae Walker CHI · WR · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receptions: original 1.3 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Jahdae Walker CHI · WR · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving TDs: original 0.6 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Caleb Williams CHI · QB · Wk 6 · pregame QUESTIONABLE
Passing yards: original 174.2 · final 305.0 · played (box score)
Caleb Williams CHI · QB · Wk 6 · pregame QUESTIONABLE
Passing TDs: original 1.0 · final 1.0 · played (box score)
Caleb Williams CHI · QB · Wk 6 · pregame QUESTIONABLE
Rushing yards: original 30.5 · final 3.0 · played (box score)
Caleb Williams CHI · QB · Wk 6 · pregame QUESTIONABLE
Rushing TDs: original 0.5 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Cole Kmet CHI · TE · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving yards: original 14.2 · final 3.0 · played (box score)
Cole Kmet CHI · TE · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receptions: original 1.3 · final 2.0 · played (box score)
Cole Kmet CHI · TE · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving TDs: original 0.2 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Austin Hooper ATL · TE · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving yards: original 8.0 · final 6.0 · played (box score)
Austin Hooper ATL · TE · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receptions: original 0.8 · final 1.0 · played (box score)
Austin Hooper ATL · TE · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving TDs: original 0.1 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Olamide Zaccheaus ATL · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving yards: original 5.1 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Olamide Zaccheaus ATL · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receptions: original 0.8 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Olamide Zaccheaus ATL · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Tyson Bagent CHI · QB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Passing yards: original 91.2 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Tyson Bagent CHI · QB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Passing TDs: original 0.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Tyson Bagent CHI · QB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Rushing yards: original 5.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Tyson Bagent CHI · QB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Rushing TDs: original 0.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Sam Roush CHI · TE · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving yards: original 5.5 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Sam Roush CHI · TE · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receptions: original 0.5 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Sam Roush CHI · TE · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Zavion Thomas CHI · WR · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving yards: original 6.0 · final 25.0 · played (box score)
Zavion Thomas CHI · WR · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receptions: original 1.0 · final 3.0 · played (box score)
Zavion Thomas CHI · WR · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Zavion Thomas CHI · WR · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Rushing yards: original 5.5 · final 0.0 · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Zavion Thomas CHI · WR · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Rushing TDs: original 0.0 · final 0.0 · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Roschon Johnson CHI · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Rushing yards: original 9.8 · final 51.0 · played (box score)
Roschon Johnson CHI · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Rushing TDs: original 0.0 · final 1.0 · played (box score)
Roschon Johnson CHI · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving yards: original 10.3 · final 34.0 · played (box score)
Roschon Johnson CHI · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receptions: original 1.5 · final 2.0 · played (box score)
Roschon Johnson CHI · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Cooper Rush ATL · QB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Passing yards: original 47.6 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Cooper Rush ATL · QB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Passing TDs: original 0.1 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Cooper Rush ATL · QB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Rushing yards: original 2.3 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Cooper Rush ATL · QB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Rushing TDs: original 0.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Charlie Woerner ATL · TE · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving yards: original 5.8 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Charlie Woerner ATL · TE · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receptions: original 0.7 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Charlie Woerner ATL · TE · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Chris Blair ATL · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving yards: original 3.0 · final 0.0 · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Chris Blair ATL · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receptions: original 0.5 · final 0.0 · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Chris Blair ATL · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final 0.0 · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Zachariah Branch ATL · WR · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving yards: original 11.5 · final 9.0 · played (box score)
Zachariah Branch ATL · WR · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receptions: original 1.8 · final 2.0 · played (box score)
Zachariah Branch ATL · WR · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Jack Strand ATL · QB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Passing yards: original 29.5 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Jack Strand ATL · QB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Passing TDs: original 0.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Jack Strand ATL · QB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Rushing yards: original 8.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Jack Strand ATL · QB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Rushing TDs: original 0.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Tua Tagovailoa ATL · QB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Passing yards: original 138.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Tua Tagovailoa ATL · QB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Passing TDs: original 1.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Tua Tagovailoa ATL · QB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Rushing yards: original 2.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Tua Tagovailoa ATL · QB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Rushing TDs: original 0.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Tyler Warren IND · TE · Wk 6 · pregame QUESTIONABLE
Receiving yards: original 35.3 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Tyler Warren IND · TE · Wk 6 · pregame QUESTIONABLE
Receptions: original 4.5 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Tyler Warren IND · TE · Wk 6 · pregame QUESTIONABLE
Receiving TDs: original 0.3 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Tyler Warren IND · TE · Wk 6 · pregame QUESTIONABLE
Rushing yards: original 0.8 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Tyler Warren IND · TE · Wk 6 · pregame QUESTIONABLE
Rushing TDs: original 0.1 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Andrew Ogletree IND · TE · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving yards: original 3.5 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Andrew Ogletree IND · TE · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receptions: original 0.6 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Andrew Ogletree IND · TE · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving TDs: original 0.1 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Alec Pierce IND · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving yards: original 25.7 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Alec Pierce IND · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receptions: original 1.4 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Alec Pierce IND · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving TDs: original 0.1 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Chimere Dike TEN · WR · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving yards: original 17.1 · final 0.0 · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Chimere Dike TEN · WR · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receptions: original 1.9 · final 0.0 · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Chimere Dike TEN · WR · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving TDs: original 0.1 · final 0.0 · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Chimere Dike TEN · WR · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Rushing yards: original 0.4 · final 0.0 · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Chimere Dike TEN · WR · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Rushing TDs: original 0.0 · final 0.0 · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Daniel Bellinger TEN · TE · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving yards: original 11.1 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Daniel Bellinger TEN · TE · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receptions: original 1.2 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Daniel Bellinger TEN · TE · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Mo Alie-Cox IND · TE · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving yards: original 12.8 · final 1.0 · played (box score)
Mo Alie-Cox IND · TE · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receptions: original 1.3 · final 1.0 · played (box score)
Mo Alie-Cox IND · TE · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final 1.0 · played (box score)
Tyjae Spears TEN · RB · Wk 6 · pregame QUESTIONABLE
Rushing yards: original 12.4 · final 1.0 · played (box score)
Tyjae Spears TEN · RB · Wk 6 · pregame QUESTIONABLE
Rushing TDs: original 0.0 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Tyjae Spears TEN · RB · Wk 6 · pregame QUESTIONABLE
Receiving yards: original 12.4 · final 7.0 · played (box score)
Tyjae Spears TEN · RB · Wk 6 · pregame QUESTIONABLE
Receptions: original 2.4 · final 1.0 · played (box score)
Tyjae Spears TEN · RB · Wk 6 · pregame QUESTIONABLE
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Nicholas Singleton TEN · RB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Rushing yards: original 3.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Nicholas Singleton TEN · RB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Rushing TDs: original 0.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Nicholas Singleton TEN · RB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving yards: original 0.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Nicholas Singleton TEN · RB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receptions: original 0.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Nicholas Singleton TEN · RB · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Kylen Granson TEN · TE · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving yards: original 6.7 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Kylen Granson TEN · TE · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receptions: original 1.2 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Kylen Granson TEN · TE · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Kalel Mullings TEN · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Rushing yards: original 2.6 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Kalel Mullings TEN · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Rushing TDs: original 0.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Kalel Mullings TEN · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving yards: original 0.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Kalel Mullings TEN · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receptions: original 0.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Kalel Mullings TEN · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Seth McGowan IND · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Rushing yards: original 12.2 · final 27.0 · played (box score)
Seth McGowan IND · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Rushing TDs: original 0.0 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Seth McGowan IND · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving yards: original 2.0 · final 0.0 · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Seth McGowan IND · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receptions: original 0.6 · final 0.0 · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Seth McGowan IND · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final 0.0 · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Deion Burks IND · WR · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving yards: original 2.0 · final 41.0 · played (box score)
Deion Burks IND · WR · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receptions: original 0.3 · final 2.0 · played (box score)
Deion Burks IND · WR · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Deion Burks IND · WR · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Rushing yards: original 4.7 · final 7.0 · played (box score)
Deion Burks IND · WR · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Rushing TDs: original 0.0 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine IND · WR · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving yards: original 6.6 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine IND · WR · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receptions: original 0.8 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine IND · WR · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Efton Chism III NE · WR · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving yards: original 28.8 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Efton Chism III NE · WR · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receptions: original 2.0 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Efton Chism III NE · WR · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving TDs: original 0.3 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Efton Chism III NE · WR · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Rushing yards: original 0.3 · final 0.0 · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Efton Chism III NE · WR · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Rushing TDs: original 0.0 · final 0.0 · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Kenyon Sadiq NYJ · TE · Wk 6 · pregame QUESTIONABLE
Receiving yards: original 23.4 · final 12.0 · played (box score)
Kenyon Sadiq NYJ · TE · Wk 6 · pregame QUESTIONABLE
Receptions: original 2.2 · final 1.0 · played (box score)
Kenyon Sadiq NYJ · TE · Wk 6 · pregame QUESTIONABLE
Receiving TDs: original 0.2 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Kenyon Sadiq NYJ · TE · Wk 6 · pregame QUESTIONABLE
Rushing yards: original 0.5 · final 0.0 · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Kenyon Sadiq NYJ · TE · Wk 6 · pregame QUESTIONABLE
Rushing TDs: original 0.2 · final 0.0 · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
TreVeyon Henderson NE · RB · Wk 6 · pregame QUESTIONABLE
Rushing yards: original 36.0 · final 31.0 · played (box score)
TreVeyon Henderson NE · RB · Wk 6 · pregame QUESTIONABLE
Rushing TDs: original 0.3 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
TreVeyon Henderson NE · RB · Wk 6 · pregame QUESTIONABLE
Receiving yards: original 6.4 · final 9.0 · played (box score)
TreVeyon Henderson NE · RB · Wk 6 · pregame QUESTIONABLE
Receptions: original 0.8 · final 1.0 · played (box score)
TreVeyon Henderson NE · RB · Wk 6 · pregame QUESTIONABLE
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Eli Raridon NE · TE · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving yards: original 25.3 · final 11.0 · played (box score)
Eli Raridon NE · TE · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receptions: original 2.0 · final 1.0 · played (box score)
Eli Raridon NE · TE · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving TDs: original 0.3 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
A.J. Brown NE · WR · Wk 6 · pregame QUESTIONABLE
Receiving yards: original 42.6 · final 27.0 · played (box score)
A.J. Brown NE · WR · Wk 6 · pregame QUESTIONABLE
Receptions: original 3.6 · final 3.0 · played (box score)
A.J. Brown NE · WR · Wk 6 · pregame QUESTIONABLE
Receiving TDs: original 0.2 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Kyle Williams NE · WR · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving yards: original 27.9 · final 12.0 · played (box score)
Kyle Williams NE · WR · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receptions: original 1.1 · final 1.0 · played (box score)
Kyle Williams NE · WR · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving TDs: original 0.2 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Kyle Williams NE · WR · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Rushing yards: original 0.1 · final 0.0 · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Kyle Williams NE · WR · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Rushing TDs: original 0.0 · final 0.0 · played · no attempts in this category (true 0)
Tim Patrick NYJ · WR · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving yards: original 18.3 · final 15.0 · played (box score)
Tim Patrick NYJ · WR · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receptions: original 1.4 · final 1.0 · played (box score)
Tim Patrick NYJ · WR · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving TDs: original 0.2 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Jeremy Ruckert NYJ · TE · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving yards: original 7.6 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Jeremy Ruckert NYJ · TE · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receptions: original 1.2 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Jeremy Ruckert NYJ · TE · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving TDs: original 0.1 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Isaiah Davis NYJ · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Rushing yards: original 13.2 · final 16.0 · played (box score)
Isaiah Davis NYJ · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Rushing TDs: original 0.0 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Isaiah Davis NYJ · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving yards: original 11.3 · final 10.0 · played (box score)
Isaiah Davis NYJ · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receptions: original 1.3 · final 1.0 · played (box score)
Isaiah Davis NYJ · RB · Wk 6 · pregame EXPECTED
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final 0.0 · played (box score)
Mack Hollins NE · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving yards: original 24.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Mack Hollins NE · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receptions: original 1.8 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Mack Hollins NE · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Sterling Shepard NYJ · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving yards: original 7.5 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Sterling Shepard NYJ · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receptions: original 0.9 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Sterling Shepard NYJ · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Sterling Shepard NYJ · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Rushing yards: original 0.4 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Sterling Shepard NYJ · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Rushing TDs: original 0.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Arian Smith NYJ · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving yards: original 1.4 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Arian Smith NYJ · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receptions: original 0.2 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded
Arian Smith NYJ · WR · Wk 6 · pregame UNKNOWN
Receiving TDs: original 0.0 · final — · no final box-score entry · DNP unverified, not graded

Coverage & grading

MAE is mean absolute error in each stat’s own units. Signed error = final − original. Tolerances are fixed display benchmarks, not betting confidence: passing ±50 yards; rushing/receiving ±20 yards; receptions ±2; each TD count ±1. Season results pool observations, not weekly averages.

Primary view: players with a pregame primary role from the saved snapshot only — no injury designation and recent stats, plus the team’s top projected QB, WRs with 3+ projected targets, the top TE, and RBs with 8+ projected opportunities and 20%+ of the backfield share. Saved snapshots hold no verified lineup feed, so this is a pregame projected role, not a confirmed starter. Everyone else is listed under the audit section and never pooled. Missing records and players absent from the final ESPN box score are ungraded, never assumed zero or confirmed DNP. A player who appears in the final box score but not in a stat category (e.g. no carries) is graded as a confirmed 0 and labeled so. Participation is box-score evidence only; no starter status is inferred from a projection. Explicit matched zeros are graded. In-game injuries cannot be separately identified from this feed. Different original model versions remain identified; no prediction is recalculated.

Only final games with a verified event ID, matching team and exact player crosswalk are graded. Saved capture must precede stored kickoff. No results are written back. Missing snapshots cannot be reconstructed. Future games count as ungraded coverage, not failures.

Over/under/equal compares final stats to PLPIQ’s own saved projection only. It is a hypothetical model-performance measure, not a sportsbook-line result; PLPIQ publishes no player sportsbook lines, and no wager outcome is labeled unless verified contemporaneous lines and pregame selections exist — none do today.

Final feeds are cached best-effort for one hour; schedules for five minutes. Missing feeds remain ungraded.