Name: PLP IQ NFL Week 1 prediction results (SU, ATS, totals)
Creator: PLP IQ

Prediction storage & final-score grading online · last successful update Nov 9, 6:47 AM

Permanent locked record

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Confidence Calibration

Stated confidence vs. what that band really produced. PLP IQ shrinks future confidence toward these numbers once a band has a meaningful sample.

Market

No graded ATS predictions yet — calibration starts once games finish.

Filters

Week

Classification

Market

Outcome

Official PLP IQ Record

2026 Regular Season

Games Graded

completed NFL games

Market Predictions Graded

up to 3 per game

Official Plays

graded PLAY markets

Official Best Plays — Overall

11–11–0

50%

22 official recommended plays graded (BET + LEAN) · 0 pending · 26 passed and excluded

Win % = wins ÷ (wins + losses). Pushes never count either way.

Official Breakdown By Market

Straight Up

6–4–0

60%

10 graded · 0 pending

Spread / ATS

2–4–0

33.3%

6 graded · 0 pending

Totals

3–3–0

50%

6 graded · 0 pending

These three official records add up exactly to the Official Best Plays record above (11 wins · 11 losses · 0 pushes). Markets where the official PLP IQ pick was PASS or a non-actionable LEAN are tracked but never enter this record.

Raw Model Performance — All Graded Markets

Straight Up

9–7–0

56.3%

16 graded · 0 pending

Spread

6–9–1

40%

16 graded · 0 pending

Totals

7–9–0

43.8%

16 graded · 0 pending

All Markets

22–25–1

46.8%

48 graded · 0 pending

Raw-model statistics only — all 48 graded market predictions across 16 completed games, including the markets PLP IQ passed on. Not the official PLP IQ record.

2026 Regular Season PLP IQ Performance

Games Graded

completed NFL games

Market Predictions Graded

up to 3 per game

Official Plays

graded PLAY markets

Official Best Plays

11–11–0

50%

22 recommended official markets graded (BET + LEAN) — only PASS excluded

Official Record By Market

Straight Up

6-4-0

60%

Point Spread

2-4-0

33.3%

ATS

Over / Under

3-3-0

50%

Raw Model Performance — All Graded Markets

Straight Up

9-7-0

56.3%

Point Spread

6-9-1

40%

ATS

Over / Under

7-9-0

43.8%

By Recommendation Strength

Play

2-1-0

66.7%

Lean

9-10-0

47.4%

Pass

11-14-1

44%

By Pregame Confidence

<55%

7-4-1

63.6%

55-64%

9-12-0

42.9%

65-74%

3-3-0

50%

75%+

3-6-0

33.3%

Best Plays By Wager Type

Moneyline

0-0-0

—

Spread

0-1-0

Over

0-0-0

—

Under

2-0-0

100%

Volume & Classification

Games Graded

Market Predictions Graded

Official Plays

Games Pending

Markets Pending

Passed Markets

Raw PLAY

Raw LEAN

Raw PASS

Avg IQ on Winning Plays

60.5

Avg Conf on Winning Plays

61%

Play Streak

Recent Official Plays

Last 10 Plays

2-1-0

66.7%

Last 20 Plays

2-1-0

66.7%

Tracked, Not Official

LEAN (tracked)

9-10-0

47.4%

PASS (tracked)

11-14-1

44%

LEAN and PASS outcomes are graded internally so the model can be evaluated, but they never count toward the official PLP IQ Best Plays record.

Projected Score Accuracy

Average distance between PLP IQ's locked projected score and the real final score.

Avg Team Score Err

9.7

Avg Total Err

14.6

Avg Margin Err

12.5

Weekly Performance

Week 1

Official record · 0 markets pending

11–11–0

Games Graded

completed NFL games

Market Predictions Graded

up to 3 per game

Official Plays

graded PLAY markets

Official Record By Market

Straight Up

6-4-0

60%

Spread

2-4-0

33.3%

Total

3-3-0

50%

Raw Model — All Graded Markets

Straight Up

9-7-0

56.3%

Spread

6-9-1

40%

Total

7-9-0

43.8%

Completed Games

Straight Up

PASS

Spread

PASS

Over / Under

PASS

Straight UpKCPASS

SpreadDEN +2.5PASS

TotalUnder 43.5PASS

Game record (official markets): 0–0

Locked lines used for grading — spread KC -2.5 · total 43.5 · pregame confidence 51% · recommendation PASS

PLP IQ picks — straight up KC · spread DEN +2.5 · O/U Under 43.5

Straight Up

❌ LOSS

Spread

PASS

Over / Under

PASS

Straight UpDAL❌ LOSS

SpreadDAL -3PASS

TotalUnder 47.5PASS

Game record (official markets): 0–1

Locked lines used for grading — spread DAL -3 · total 47.5 · pregame confidence 61% · recommendation LEAN

PLP IQ picks — straight up DAL · spread DAL -3 · O/U Under 47.5

Straight Up

❌ LOSS

Spread

❌ LOSS

Over / Under

✅ WIN

Straight UpMIA❌ LOSS

SpreadMIA +3❌ LOSS

TotalUnder 40.5✅ WIN

Game record (official markets): 1–2

Locked lines used for grading — spread LV -3 · total 40.5 · pregame confidence 66% · recommendation PLAY

PLP IQ picks — straight up MIA · spread MIA +3 · O/U Under 40.5

Straight Up

PASS

Spread

PASS

Over / Under

PASS

Straight UpWSHPASS

SpreadWSH +6PASS

TotalUnder 44.5PASS

Game record (official markets): 0–0

Locked lines used for grading — spread PHI -6 · total 44.5 · pregame confidence 53% · recommendation PASS

PLP IQ picks — straight up WSH · spread WSH +6 · O/U Under 44.5

Straight Up

❌ LOSS

Spread

❌ LOSS

Over / Under

❌ LOSS

Straight UpGB❌ LOSS

SpreadGB +2.5❌ LOSS

TotalUnder 46.5❌ LOSS

Game record (official markets): 0–3

Locked lines used for grading — spread MIN -2.5 · total 46.5 · pregame confidence 77% · recommendation PLAY

PLP IQ picks — straight up GB · spread GB +2.5 · O/U Under 46.5

Straight Up

PASS

Spread

✅ WIN

Over / Under

✅ WIN

Straight UpARIPASS

SpreadARI +9.5✅ WIN

TotalUnder 47.5✅ WIN

Game record (official markets): 2–0

Locked lines used for grading — spread LAC -9.5 · total 47.5 · pregame confidence 51% · recommendation LEAN

PLP IQ picks — straight up ARI · spread ARI +9.5 · O/U Under 47.5

Straight Up

PASS

Spread

❌ LOSS

Over / Under

PASS

Straight UpINDPASS

SpreadIND +3.5❌ LOSS

TotalOver 47.5PASS

Game record (official markets): 0–1

Locked lines used for grading — spread BAL -3.5 · total 47.5 · pregame confidence 59% · recommendation LEAN

PLP IQ picks — straight up IND · spread IND +3.5 · O/U Over 47.5

Straight Up

✅ WIN

Spread

✅ WIN

Over / Under

PASS

Straight UpJAX✅ WIN

SpreadJAX -8.5✅ WIN

TotalUnder 39.5PASS

Game record (official markets): 2–0

Locked lines used for grading — spread JAX -8.5 · total 39.5 · pregame confidence 85% · recommendation LEAN

PLP IQ picks — straight up JAX · spread JAX -8.5 · O/U Under 39.5

Straight Up

PASS

Spread

PASS

Over / Under

✅ WIN

Straight UpTENPASS

SpreadTEN -1.5PASS

TotalUnder 38.5✅ WIN

Game record (official markets): 1–0

Locked lines used for grading — spread TEN -1.5 · total 38.5 · pregame confidence 56% · recommendation PLAY

PLP IQ picks — straight up TEN · spread TEN -1.5 · O/U Under 38.5

Straight Up

✅ WIN

Spread

PASS

Over / Under

PASS

Straight UpPIT✅ WIN

SpreadATL +6PASS

TotalUnder 40.5PASS

Game record (official markets): 1–0

Locked lines used for grading — spread PIT -6 · total 40.5 · pregame confidence 61% · recommendation LEAN

PLP IQ picks — straight up PIT · spread ATL +6 · O/U Under 40.5

Straight Up

✅ WIN

Spread

PASS

Over / Under

PASS

Straight UpBUF✅ WIN

SpreadBUF -1.5PASS

TotalOver 44.5PASS

Game record (official markets): 1–0

Locked lines used for grading — spread BUF -1.5 · total 44.5 · pregame confidence 63% · recommendation LEAN

PLP IQ picks — straight up BUF · spread BUF -1.5 · O/U Over 44.5

Straight Up

✅ WIN

Spread

PASS

Over / Under

PASS

Straight UpCHI✅ WIN

SpreadCHI -3PASS

TotalUnder 47.5PASS

Game record (official markets): 1–0

Locked lines used for grading — spread CHI -3 · total 47.5 · pregame confidence 66% · recommendation LEAN

PLP IQ picks — straight up CHI · spread CHI -3 · O/U Under 47.5

Straight Up

✅ WIN

Spread

PASS

Over / Under

PASS

Straight UpCIN✅ WIN

SpreadCIN -3.5PASS

TotalUnder 50.5PASS

Game record (official markets): 1–0

Locked lines used for grading — spread CIN -3.5 · total 50.5 · pregame confidence 60% · recommendation LEAN

PLP IQ picks — straight up CIN · spread CIN -3.5 · O/U Under 50.5

Straight Up

✅ WIN

Spread

❌ LOSS

Over / Under

PASS

Straight UpDET✅ WIN

SpreadDET -7❌ LOSS

TotalUnder 49.5PASS

Game record (official markets): 1–1

Locked lines used for grading — spread DET -7 · total 49.5 · pregame confidence 81% · recommendation LEAN

PLP IQ picks — straight up DET · spread DET -7 · O/U Under 49.5

Straight Up

❌ LOSS

Spread

PASS

Over / Under

❌ LOSS

Straight UpLAR❌ LOSS

SpreadLAR -3.5PASS

TotalOver 48.5❌ LOSS

Game record (official markets): 0–2

Locked lines used for grading — spread LAR -3.5 · total 48.5 · pregame confidence 63% · recommendation LEAN

PLP IQ picks — straight up LAR · spread LAR -3.5 · O/U Over 48.5

Straight Up

PASS

Spread

PASS

Over / Under

❌ LOSS

Straight UpSEAPASS

SpreadNE +3PASS

TotalOver 44.5❌ LOSS

Game record (official markets): 0–1

Locked lines used for grading — spread SEA -3 · total 44.5 · pregame confidence 54% · recommendation LEAN

PLP IQ picks — straight up SEA · spread NE +3 · O/U Over 44.5

Historical predictions and their locked sportsbook lines are permanent and are never edited, replaced or deleted. All results are probabilistic model outcomes, not guarantees.