Track PLP IQ straight-up, ATS and over/under prediction results. Every pick below was locked before kickoff and graded against the sportsbook line stored at that moment.
Prediction storage & final-score grading online · last successful update Nov 9, 6:47 AM
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Confidence Calibration
Stated confidence vs. what that band really produced. PLP IQ shrinks future confidence toward these numbers once a band has a meaningful sample.
Market
No graded ATS predictions yet — calibration starts once games finish.
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Outcome
Official PLP IQ Record
2026 Regular Season
Games Graded
16
completed NFL games
Market Predictions Graded
48
up to 3 per game
Official Plays
16
graded PLAY markets
Official Best Plays — Overall
10–6–0
62.5%
16 official recommended plays graded (BET + LEAN) · 0 pending · 32 passed and excluded
Win % = wins ÷ (wins + losses). Pushes never count either way.
Official Breakdown By Market
Straight Up
7–3–0
70%
10 graded · 0 pending
Spread / ATS
2–1–0
66.7%
3 graded · 0 pending
Totals
1–2–0
33.3%
3 graded · 0 pending
These three official records add up exactly to the Official Best Plays record above (10 wins · 6 losses · 0 pushes). Markets where the official PLP IQ pick was PASS or a non-actionable LEAN are tracked but never enter this record.
Raw Model Performance — All Graded Markets
Straight Up
8–8–0
50%
16 graded · 0 pending
Spread
8–6–2
57.1%
16 graded · 0 pending
Totals
5–11–0
31.3%
16 graded · 0 pending
All Markets
21–25–2
45.7%
48 graded · 0 pending
Raw-model statistics only — all 48 graded market predictions across 16 completed games, including the markets PLP IQ passed on. Not the official PLP IQ record.
2026 Regular Season PLP IQ Performance
Games Graded
16
completed NFL games
Market Predictions Graded
48
up to 3 per game
Official Plays
16
graded PLAY markets
Official Best Plays
10–6–0
62.5%
16 recommended official markets graded (BET + LEAN) — only PASS excluded
Official Record By Market
Straight Up
7-3-0
70%
Point Spread
2-1-0
66.7%
ATS
Over / Under
1-2-0
33.3%
Raw Model Performance — All Graded Markets
Straight Up
8-8-0
50%
Point Spread
8-6-2
57.1%
ATS
Over / Under
5-11-0
31.3%
By Recommendation Strength
Play
3-1-0
75%
Lean
7-5-0
58.3%
Pass
11-19-2
36.7%
By Pregame Confidence
<55%
4-4-1
50%
55-64%
8-13-0
38.1%
65-74%
4-7-1
36.4%
75%+
5-1-0
83.3%
Best Plays By Wager Type
Moneyline
3-1-0
75%
Spread
0-0-0
—
Over
0-0-0
—
Under
0-0-0
—
Volume & Classification
Games Graded
16
Market Predictions Graded
48
Official Plays
16
Games Pending
0
Markets Pending
0
Passed Markets
32
Raw PLAY
4
Raw LEAN
12
Raw PASS
32
Avg IQ on Winning Plays
70.7
Avg Conf on Winning Plays
76.7%
Play Streak
3W
Recent Official Plays
Last 10 Plays
3-1-0
75%
Last 20 Plays
3-1-0
75%
Tracked, Not Official
LEAN (tracked)
7-5-0
58.3%
PASS (tracked)
11-19-2
36.7%
LEAN and PASS outcomes are graded internally so the model can be evaluated, but they never count toward the official PLP IQ Best Plays record.
Average distance between PLP IQ's locked projected score and the real final score.
Avg Team Score Err
8.3
Avg Total Err
13.3
Avg Margin Err
8.3
Week 3
Official record · 0 markets pending
Games Graded
16
completed NFL games
Market Predictions Graded
48
up to 3 per game
Official Plays
16
graded PLAY markets
Official Record By Market
Straight Up
7-3-0
70%
Spread
2-1-0
66.7%
Total
1-2-0
33.3%
Raw Model — All Graded Markets
Straight Up
8-8-0
50%
Spread
8-6-2
57.1%
Total
5-11-0
31.3%
Straight Up
❌ LOSSSpread
✅ WINOver / Under
PASSGame record (official markets): 1–1
Locked lines used for grading — spread PHI -3.5 · total 42.5 · pregame confidence 56% · recommendation LEAN
PLP IQ picks — straight up PHI · spread CHI +3.5 · O/U Over 42.5
Straight Up
✅ WINSpread
PASSOver / Under
PASSGame record (official markets): 1–0
Locked lines used for grading — spread LAR -1.5 · total 43.5 · pregame confidence 60% · recommendation LEAN
PLP IQ picks — straight up DEN · spread DEN +1.5 · O/U Under 43.5
Straight Up
PASSSpread
PASSOver / Under
❌ LOSSGame record (official markets): 0–1
Locked lines used for grading — spread NO -3.5 · total 43.5 · pregame confidence 59% · recommendation LEAN
PLP IQ picks — straight up NO · spread NO -3.5 · O/U Under 43.5
Straight Up
✅ WINSpread
PASSOver / Under
PASSGame record (official markets): 1–0
Locked lines used for grading — spread BAL -3 · total 53.5 · pregame confidence 54% · recommendation LEAN
PLP IQ picks — straight up BAL · spread DAL +3 · O/U Under 53.5
Straight Up
✅ WINSpread
PASSOver / Under
PASSGame record (official markets): 1–0
Locked lines used for grading — spread SF -7.5 · total 48.5 · pregame confidence 65% · recommendation LEAN
PLP IQ picks — straight up SF · spread ARI +7.5 · O/U Under 48.5
Straight Up
PASSSpread
PASSOver / Under
✅ WINGame record (official markets): 1–0
Locked lines used for grading — spread MIN -1.5 · total 42.5 · pregame confidence 52% · recommendation LEAN
PLP IQ picks — straight up MIN · spread MIN -1.5 · O/U Under 42.5
Straight Up
✅ WINSpread
PASSOver / Under
PASSGame record (official markets): 1–0
Locked lines used for grading — spread KC -10 · total 45.5 · pregame confidence 77% · recommendation PLAY
PLP IQ picks — straight up KC · spread MIA +10 · O/U Under 45.5
Straight Up
PASSSpread
PASSOver / Under
PASSGame record (official markets): 0–0
Locked lines used for grading — spread NYG -2.5 · total 37.5 · pregame confidence 51% · recommendation PASS
PLP IQ picks — straight up TEN · spread TEN +2.5 · O/U Over 37.5
Straight Up
✅ WINSpread
✅ WINOver / Under
PASSGame record (official markets): 2–0
Locked lines used for grading — spread BUF -7 · total 50.5 · pregame confidence 82% · recommendation PLAY
PLP IQ picks — straight up BUF · spread BUF -7 · O/U Under 50.5
Straight Up
✅ WINSpread
PASSOver / Under
PASSGame record (official markets): 1–0
Locked lines used for grading — spread JAX -3 · total 46.5 · pregame confidence 62% · recommendation LEAN
PLP IQ picks — straight up JAX · spread JAX -3 · O/U Under 46.5
Straight Up
PASSSpread
PASSOver / Under
PASSGame record (official markets): 0–0
Locked lines used for grading — spread CIN -3.5 · total 42.5 · pregame confidence 56% · recommendation PASS
PLP IQ picks — straight up CIN · spread PIT +3.5 · O/U Under 42.5
Straight Up
PASSSpread
PASSOver / Under
PASSGame record (official markets): 0–0
Locked lines used for grading — spread HOU -1.5 · total 41.5 · pregame confidence 59% · recommendation PASS
PLP IQ picks — straight up HOU · spread HOU -1.5 · O/U Over 41.5
Straight Up
✅ WINSpread
PASSOver / Under
PASSGame record (official markets): 1–0
Locked lines used for grading — spread DET -7 · total 49.5 · pregame confidence 71% · recommendation PLAY
PLP IQ picks — straight up DET · spread DET -7 · O/U Under 49.5
Straight Up
❌ LOSSSpread
PASSOver / Under
PASSGame record (official markets): 0–1
Locked lines used for grading — spread SEA -8.5 · total 40.5 · pregame confidence 70% · recommendation LEAN
PLP IQ picks — straight up SEA · spread WSH +8.5 · O/U Under 40.5
Straight Up
PASSSpread
PASSOver / Under
PASSGame record (official markets): 0–0
Locked lines used for grading — spread CAR -2.5 · total 41.5 · pregame confidence 58% · recommendation PASS
PLP IQ picks — straight up CAR · spread CAR -2.5 · O/U Under 41.5
Straight Up
❌ LOSSSpread
❌ LOSSOver / Under
❌ LOSSGame record (official markets): 0–3
Locked lines used for grading — spread GB -4.5 · total 42.5 · pregame confidence 71% · recommendation PLAY
PLP IQ picks — straight up GB · spread GB -4.5 · O/U Under 42.5
Historical predictions and their locked sportsbook lines are permanent and are never edited, replaced or deleted. All results are probabilistic model outcomes, not guarantees.
PLP IQ is not a sportsbook and does not accept bets or wagers. Predictions, ratings, and analysis are provided for informational and entertainment purposes only, and contest entry is free.
PLP IQ is an independent prediction platform and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by the National Football League or any NFL team.
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