Name: PLP IQ NFL Week 6 prediction results (SU, ATS, totals)
Creator: PLP IQ

Prediction storage & final-score grading online · last successful update Nov 9, 6:47 AM

Permanent locked record

Timestamped Prediction Ledger

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Confidence Calibration

Stated confidence vs. what that band really produced. PLP IQ shrinks future confidence toward these numbers once a band has a meaningful sample.

Market

No graded ATS predictions yet — calibration starts once games finish.

Filters

Week

Classification

Market

Outcome

Official PLP IQ Record

2026 Regular Season

Games Graded

completed NFL games

Market Predictions Graded

up to 3 per game

Official Plays

graded PLAY markets

Official Best Plays — Overall

13–12–0

52%

25 official recommended plays graded (BET + LEAN) · 0 pending · 17 passed and excluded

Win % = wins ÷ (wins + losses). Pushes never count either way.

Official Breakdown By Market

Straight Up

6–6–0

50%

12 graded · 0 pending

Spread / ATS

2–3–0

40%

5 graded · 0 pending

Totals

5–3–0

62.5%

8 graded · 0 pending

These three official records add up exactly to the Official Best Plays record above (13 wins · 12 losses · 0 pushes). Markets where the official PLP IQ pick was PASS or a non-actionable LEAN are tracked but never enter this record.

Raw Model Performance — All Graded Markets

Straight Up

7–7–0

50%

14 graded · 0 pending

Spread

7–7–0

50%

14 graded · 0 pending

Totals

5–9–0

35.7%

14 graded · 0 pending

All Markets

19–23–0

45.2%

42 graded · 0 pending

Raw-model statistics only — all 42 graded market predictions across 14 completed games, including the markets PLP IQ passed on. Not the official PLP IQ record.

2026 Regular Season PLP IQ Performance

Games Graded

completed NFL games

Market Predictions Graded

up to 3 per game

Official Plays

graded PLAY markets

Official Best Plays

13–12–0

52%

25 recommended official markets graded (BET + LEAN) — only PASS excluded

Official Record By Market

Straight Up

6-6-0

50%

Point Spread

2-3-0

40%

ATS

Over / Under

5-3-0

62.5%

Raw Model Performance — All Graded Markets

Straight Up

7-7-0

50%

Point Spread

7-7-0

50%

ATS

Over / Under

5-9-0

35.7%

By Recommendation Strength

Play

4-3-0

57.1%

Lean

9-9-0

50%

Pass

6-11-0

35.3%

By Pregame Confidence

<55%

2-1-0

66.7%

55-64%

5-7-0

41.7%

65-74%

6-9-0

40%

75%+

6-6-0

50%

Best Plays By Wager Type

Moneyline

4-3-0

57.1%

Spread

0-0-0

—

Over

0-0-0

—

Under

0-0-0

—

Volume & Classification

Games Graded

Market Predictions Graded

Official Plays

Games Pending

Markets Pending

Passed Markets

Raw PLAY

Raw LEAN

Raw PASS

Avg IQ on Winning Plays

69.3

Avg Conf on Winning Plays

77%

Play Streak

Recent Official Plays

Last 10 Plays

4-3-0

57.1%

Last 20 Plays

4-3-0

57.1%

Tracked, Not Official

LEAN (tracked)

9-9-0

50%

PASS (tracked)

6-11-0

35.3%

LEAN and PASS outcomes are graded internally so the model can be evaluated, but they never count toward the official PLP IQ Best Plays record.

Projected Score Accuracy

Average distance between PLP IQ's locked projected score and the real final score.

Avg Team Score Err

6.3

Avg Total Err

11.1

Avg Margin Err

8.1

Weekly Performance

Week 6

Official record · 0 markets pending

13–12–0

Games Graded

completed NFL games

Market Predictions Graded

up to 3 per game

Official Plays

graded PLAY markets

Official Record By Market

Straight Up

6-6-0

50%

Spread

2-3-0

40%

Total

5-3-0

62.5%

Raw Model — All Graded Markets

Straight Up

7-7-0

50%

Spread

7-7-0

50%

Total

5-9-0

35.7%

Completed Games

Straight Up

✅ WIN

Spread

❌ LOSS

Over / Under

PASS

Straight UpSF✅ WIN

SpreadSF -7.5❌ LOSS

TotalOver 51.5PASS

Game record (official markets): 1–1

Locked lines used for grading — spread SF -7.5 · total 51.5 · pregame confidence 86% · recommendation PLAY

PLP IQ picks — straight up SF · spread SF -7.5 · O/U Over 51.5

Straight Up

✅ WIN

Spread

✅ WIN

Over / Under

❌ LOSS

Straight UpGB✅ WIN

SpreadGB +1.5✅ WIN

TotalOver 53.5❌ LOSS

Game record (official markets): 2–1

Locked lines used for grading — spread DAL -1.5 · total 53.5 · pregame confidence 62% · recommendation LEAN

PLP IQ picks — straight up GB · spread GB +1.5 · O/U Over 53.5

Straight Up

✅ WIN

Spread

✅ WIN

Over / Under

✅ WIN

Straight UpKC✅ WIN

SpreadKC -7.5✅ WIN

TotalUnder 41.5✅ WIN

Game record (official markets): 3–0

Locked lines used for grading — spread KC -7.5 · total 41.5 · pregame confidence 86% · recommendation PLAY

PLP IQ picks — straight up KC · spread KC -7.5 · O/U Under 41.5

Straight Up

✅ WIN

Spread

PASS

Over / Under

✅ WIN

Straight UpBUF✅ WIN

SpreadLV +5.5PASS

TotalOver 53.5✅ WIN

Game record (official markets): 2–0

Locked lines used for grading — spread BUF -5.5 · total 53.5 · pregame confidence 67% · recommendation PLAY

PLP IQ picks — straight up BUF · spread LV +5.5 · O/U Over 53.5

Straight Up

❌ LOSS

Spread

PASS

Over / Under

❌ LOSS

Straight UpLAR❌ LOSS

SpreadARI +12.5PASS

TotalOver 51.5❌ LOSS

Game record (official markets): 0–2

Locked lines used for grading — spread LAR -12.5 · total 51.5 · pregame confidence 81% · recommendation PLAY

PLP IQ picks — straight up LAR · spread ARI +12.5 · O/U Over 51.5

Straight Up

❌ LOSS

Spread

PASS

Over / Under

✅ WIN

Straight UpBAL❌ LOSS

SpreadCLE +3PASS

TotalUnder 39.5✅ WIN

Game record (official markets): 1–1

Locked lines used for grading — spread BAL -3 · total 39.5 · pregame confidence 56% · recommendation LEAN

PLP IQ picks — straight up BAL · spread CLE +3 · O/U Under 39.5

Straight Up

✅ WIN

Spread

PASS

Over / Under

PASS

Straight UpCAR✅ WIN

SpreadCAR -3PASS

TotalOver 39.5PASS

Game record (official markets): 1–0

Locked lines used for grading — spread CAR -3 · total 39.5 · pregame confidence 69% · recommendation PLAY

PLP IQ picks — straight up CAR · spread CAR -3 · O/U Over 39.5

Straight Up

✅ WIN

Spread

PASS

Over / Under

PASS

Straight UpNE✅ WIN

SpreadNE -7.5PASS

TotalUnder 43.5PASS

Game record (official markets): 1–0

Locked lines used for grading — spread NE -7.5 · total 43.5 · pregame confidence 66% · recommendation LEAN

PLP IQ picks — straight up NE · spread NE -7.5 · O/U Under 43.5

Straight Up

PASS

Spread

PASS

Over / Under

PASS

Straight UpPITPASS

SpreadTB +1.5PASS

TotalUnder 38.5PASS

Game record (official markets): 0–0

Locked lines used for grading — spread PIT -1.5 · total 38.5 · pregame confidence 60% · recommendation PASS

PLP IQ picks — straight up PIT · spread TB +1.5 · O/U Under 38.5

Straight Up

❌ LOSS

Spread

PASS

Over / Under

❌ LOSS

Straight UpIND❌ LOSS

SpreadIND -6.5PASS

TotalUnder 43.5❌ LOSS

Game record (official markets): 0–2

Locked lines used for grading — spread IND -6.5 · total 43.5 · pregame confidence 71% · recommendation LEAN

PLP IQ picks — straight up IND · spread IND -6.5 · O/U Under 43.5

Straight Up

❌ LOSS

Spread

❌ LOSS

Over / Under

PASS

Straight UpNYG❌ LOSS

SpreadNYG +1.5❌ LOSS

TotalUnder 46.5PASS

Game record (official markets): 0–2

Locked lines used for grading — spread NO -1.5 · total 46.5 · pregame confidence 68% · recommendation PLAY

PLP IQ picks — straight up NYG · spread NYG +1.5 · O/U Under 46.5

Straight Up

PASS

Spread

PASS

Over / Under

PASS

Straight UpATLPASS

SpreadATL +1.5PASS

TotalUnder 51.5PASS

Game record (official markets): 0–0

Locked lines used for grading — spread CHI -1.5 · total 51.5 · pregame confidence 57% · recommendation PASS

PLP IQ picks — straight up ATL · spread ATL +1.5 · O/U Under 51.5

Straight Up

❌ LOSS

Spread

❌ LOSS

Over / Under

✅ WIN

Straight UpJAX❌ LOSS

SpreadJAX -2.5❌ LOSS

TotalOver 42.5✅ WIN

Game record (official markets): 1–2

Locked lines used for grading — spread JAX -2.5 · total 42.5 · pregame confidence 81% · recommendation PLAY

PLP IQ picks — straight up JAX · spread JAX -2.5 · O/U Over 42.5

Straight Up

❌ LOSS

Spread

PASS

Over / Under

✅ WIN

Straight UpSEA❌ LOSS

SpreadDEN +2.5PASS

TotalUnder 40.5✅ WIN

Game record (official markets): 1–1

Locked lines used for grading — spread SEA -2.5 · total 40.5 · pregame confidence 51% · recommendation LEAN

PLP IQ picks — straight up SEA · spread DEN +2.5 · O/U Under 40.5

Historical predictions and their locked sportsbook lines are permanent and are never edited, replaced or deleted. All results are probabilistic model outcomes, not guarantees.