Name: PLP IQ NFL Week 5 prediction results (SU, ATS, totals)
Creator: PLP IQ

Prediction storage & final-score grading online · last successful update Nov 9, 6:47 AM

Permanent locked record

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Confidence Calibration

Stated confidence vs. what that band really produced. PLP IQ shrinks future confidence toward these numbers once a band has a meaningful sample.

Market

No graded ATS predictions yet — calibration starts once games finish.

Filters

Week

Classification

Market

Outcome

Official PLP IQ Record

2026 Regular Season

Games Graded

completed NFL games

Market Predictions Graded

up to 3 per game

Official Plays

graded PLAY markets

Official Best Plays — Overall

17–11–1

60.7%

29 official recommended plays graded (BET + LEAN) · 0 pending · 16 passed and excluded

Win % = wins ÷ (wins + losses). Pushes never count either way.

Official Breakdown By Market

Straight Up

7–4–1

63.6%

12 graded · 0 pending

Spread / ATS

5–4–0

55.6%

9 graded · 0 pending

Totals

5–3–0

62.5%

8 graded · 0 pending

These three official records add up exactly to the Official Best Plays record above (17 wins · 11 losses · 1 pushes). Markets where the official PLP IQ pick was PASS or a non-actionable LEAN are tracked but never enter this record.

Raw Model Performance — All Graded Markets

Straight Up

8–6–1

57.1%

15 graded · 0 pending

Spread

7–8–0

46.7%

15 graded · 0 pending

Totals

10–5–0

66.7%

15 graded · 0 pending

All Markets

25–19–1

56.8%

45 graded · 0 pending

Raw-model statistics only — all 45 graded market predictions across 15 completed games, including the markets PLP IQ passed on. Not the official PLP IQ record.

2026 Regular Season PLP IQ Performance

Games Graded

completed NFL games

Market Predictions Graded

up to 3 per game

Official Plays

graded PLAY markets

Official Best Plays

17–11–1

60.7%

29 recommended official markets graded (BET + LEAN) — only PASS excluded

Official Record By Market

Straight Up

7-4-1

63.6%

Point Spread

5-4-0

55.6%

ATS

Over / Under

5-3-0

62.5%

Raw Model Performance — All Graded Markets

Straight Up

8-6-1

57.1%

Point Spread

7-8-0

46.7%

ATS

Over / Under

10-5-0

66.7%

By Recommendation Strength

Play

8-4-0

66.7%

Lean

9-7-1

56.3%

Pass

8-8-0

50%

By Pregame Confidence

<55%

3-6-0

33.3%

55-64%

9-6-0

60%

65-74%

2-3-1

40%

75%+

11-4-0

73.3%

Best Plays By Wager Type

Moneyline

4-2-0

66.7%

Spread

3-1-0

75%

Over

0-1-0

Under

1-0-0

100%

Volume & Classification

Games Graded

Market Predictions Graded

Official Plays

Games Pending

Markets Pending

Passed Markets

Raw PLAY

Raw LEAN

Raw PASS

Avg IQ on Winning Plays

78.8

Avg Conf on Winning Plays

82%

Play Streak

Recent Official Plays

Last 10 Plays

8-2-0

80%

Last 20 Plays

8-4-0

66.7%

Tracked, Not Official

LEAN (tracked)

9-7-1

56.3%

PASS (tracked)

8-8-0

50%

LEAN and PASS outcomes are graded internally so the model can be evaluated, but they never count toward the official PLP IQ Best Plays record.

Projected Score Accuracy

Average distance between PLP IQ's locked projected score and the real final score.

Avg Team Score Err

Avg Total Err

11.1

Avg Margin Err

11.7

Weekly Performance

Week 5

Official record · 0 markets pending

17–11–1

Games Graded

completed NFL games

Market Predictions Graded

up to 3 per game

Official Plays

graded PLAY markets

Official Record By Market

Straight Up

7-4-1

63.6%

Spread

5-4-0

55.6%

Total

5-3-0

62.5%

Raw Model — All Graded Markets

Straight Up

8-6-1

57.1%

Spread

7-8-0

46.7%

Total

10-5-0

66.7%

Completed Games

Straight Up

❌ LOSS

Spread

PASS

Over / Under

✅ WIN

Straight UpLAR❌ LOSS

SpreadLAR -3.5PASS

TotalOver 55.5✅ WIN

Game record (official markets): 1–1

Locked lines used for grading — spread LAR -3.5 · total 55.5 · pregame confidence 54% · recommendation LEAN

PLP IQ picks — straight up LAR · spread LAR -3.5 · O/U Over 55.5

Straight Up

PASS

Spread

PASS

Over / Under

PASS

Straight UpATLPASS

SpreadATL -3PASS

TotalOver 44.5PASS

Game record (official markets): 0–0

Locked lines used for grading — spread ATL -3.5 · total 44.5 · pregame confidence — · recommendation PASS

PLP IQ picks — straight up ATL · spread ATL -3 · O/U Over 44.5

Straight Up

❌ LOSS

Spread

✅ WIN

Over / Under

PASS

Straight UpSEA❌ LOSS

SpreadSF +3✅ WIN

TotalUnder 46.5PASS

Game record (official markets): 1–1

Locked lines used for grading — spread SEA -3 · total 46.5 · pregame confidence 58% · recommendation LEAN

PLP IQ picks — straight up SEA · spread SF +3 · O/U Under 46.5

Straight Up

✅ WIN

Spread

PASS

Over / Under

✅ WIN

Straight UpDET✅ WIN

SpreadARI +5.5PASS

TotalOver 55.5✅ WIN

Game record (official markets): 2–0

Locked lines used for grading — spread DET -5.5 · total 55.5 · pregame confidence 63% · recommendation LEAN

PLP IQ picks — straight up DET · spread ARI +5.5 · O/U Over 55.5

Straight Up

✅ WIN

Spread

✅ WIN

Over / Under

✅ WIN

Straight UpDEN✅ WIN

SpreadDEN -3.5✅ WIN

TotalUnder 42.5✅ WIN

Game record (official markets): 3–0

Locked lines used for grading — spread DEN -3.5 · total 42.5 · pregame confidence 76% · recommendation PLAY

PLP IQ picks — straight up DEN · spread DEN -3.5 · O/U Under 42.5

Straight Up

PASS

Spread

PASS

Over / Under

PASS

Straight UpCLEPASS

SpreadCLE +2.5PASS

TotalUnder 38.5PASS

Game record (official markets): 0–0

Locked lines used for grading — spread NYJ -2.5 · total 38.5 · pregame confidence 56% · recommendation PASS

PLP IQ picks — straight up CLE · spread CLE +2.5 · O/U Under 38.5

Straight Up

✅ WIN

Spread

❌ LOSS

Over / Under

✅ WIN

Straight UpHOU✅ WIN

SpreadTEN +6.5❌ LOSS

TotalUnder 37.5✅ WIN

Game record (official markets): 2–1

Locked lines used for grading — spread HOU -6.5 · total 37.5 · pregame confidence 55% · recommendation LEAN

PLP IQ picks — straight up HOU · spread TEN +6.5 · O/U Under 37.5

Straight Up

✅ WIN

Spread

✅ WIN

Over / Under

PASS

Straight UpCIN✅ WIN

SpreadCIN -6.5✅ WIN

TotalOver 44.5PASS

Game record (official markets): 2–0

Locked lines used for grading — spread CIN -7 · total 44.5 · pregame confidence 83% · recommendation PLAY

PLP IQ picks — straight up CIN · spread CIN -6.5 · O/U Over 44.5

Straight Up

➖ PUSH

Spread

✅ WIN

Over / Under

❌ LOSS

Straight UpWSH➖ PUSH

SpreadNYG +3.5✅ WIN

TotalUnder 41.5❌ LOSS

Game record (official markets): 1–1–1

Locked lines used for grading — spread WSH -3.5 · total 41.5 · pregame confidence 71% · recommendation LEAN

PLP IQ picks — straight up WSH · spread NYG +3.5 · O/U Under 41.5

Straight Up

❌ LOSS

Spread

❌ LOSS

Over / Under

PASS

Straight UpCHI❌ LOSS

SpreadCHI -1.5❌ LOSS

TotalUnder 47.5PASS

Game record (official markets): 0–2

Locked lines used for grading — spread CHI -1.5 · total 47.5 · pregame confidence 79% · recommendation PLAY

PLP IQ picks — straight up CHI · spread CHI -1.5 · O/U Under 47.5

Straight Up

✅ WIN

Spread

❌ LOSS

Over / Under

❌ LOSS

Straight UpNE✅ WIN

SpreadLV +3.5❌ LOSS

TotalUnder 45.5❌ LOSS

Game record (official markets): 1–2

Locked lines used for grading — spread NE -3.5 · total 45.5 · pregame confidence 52% · recommendation LEAN

PLP IQ picks — straight up NE · spread LV +3.5 · O/U Under 45.5

Straight Up

✅ WIN

Spread

✅ WIN

Over / Under

PASS

Straight UpMIN✅ WIN

SpreadMIN -2.5✅ WIN

TotalOver 41.5PASS

Game record (official markets): 2–0

Locked lines used for grading — spread MIN -2.5 · total 41.5 · pregame confidence 83% · recommendation PLAY

PLP IQ picks — straight up MIN · spread MIN -2.5 · O/U Over 41.5

Straight Up

PASS

Spread

PASS

Over / Under

PASS

Straight UpPITPASS

SpreadPIT -3PASS

TotalOver 41.5PASS

Game record (official markets): 0–0

Locked lines used for grading — spread PIT -3 · total 41.5 · pregame confidence 60% · recommendation PASS

PLP IQ picks — straight up PIT · spread PIT -3 · O/U Over 41.5

Straight Up

✅ WIN

Spread

❌ LOSS

Over / Under

✅ WIN

Straight UpJAX✅ WIN

SpreadJAX -7.5❌ LOSS

TotalUnder 41.5✅ WIN

Game record (official markets): 2–1

Locked lines used for grading — spread JAX -7.5 · total 41.5 · pregame confidence 86% · recommendation PLAY

PLP IQ picks — straight up JAX · spread JAX -7.5 · O/U Under 41.5

Straight Up

❌ LOSS

Spread

PASS

Over / Under

❌ LOSS

Straight UpDAL❌ LOSS

SpreadTB +9.5PASS

TotalOver 49.5❌ LOSS

Game record (official markets): 0–2

Locked lines used for grading — spread DAL -9.5 · total 49.5 · pregame confidence 73% · recommendation PLAY

PLP IQ picks — straight up DAL · spread TB +9.5 · O/U Over 49.5

Historical predictions and their locked sportsbook lines are permanent and are never edited, replaced or deleted. All results are probabilistic model outcomes, not guarantees.