Track PLP IQ straight-up, ATS and over/under prediction results. Every pick below was locked before kickoff and graded against the sportsbook line stored at that moment.
Prediction storage & final-score grading online · last successful update Nov 9, 6:47 AM
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Confidence Calibration
Stated confidence vs. what that band really produced. PLP IQ shrinks future confidence toward these numbers once a band has a meaningful sample.
Market
No graded ATS predictions yet — calibration starts once games finish.
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Outcome
Official PLP IQ Record
2026 Regular Season
Games Graded
16
completed NFL games
Market Predictions Graded
48
up to 3 per game
Official Plays
17
graded PLAY markets
Official Best Plays — Overall
10–7–0
58.8%
17 official recommended plays graded (BET + LEAN) · 0 pending · 31 passed and excluded
Win % = wins ÷ (wins + losses). Pushes never count either way.
Official Breakdown By Market
Straight Up
5–3–0
62.5%
8 graded · 0 pending
Spread / ATS
4–0–0
100%
4 graded · 0 pending
Totals
1–4–0
20%
5 graded · 0 pending
These three official records add up exactly to the Official Best Plays record above (10 wins · 7 losses · 0 pushes). Markets where the official PLP IQ pick was PASS or a non-actionable LEAN are tracked but never enter this record.
Raw Model Performance — All Graded Markets
Straight Up
9–7–0
56.3%
16 graded · 0 pending
Spread
10–4–2
71.4%
16 graded · 0 pending
Totals
7–9–0
43.8%
16 graded · 0 pending
All Markets
26–20–2
56.5%
48 graded · 0 pending
Raw-model statistics only — all 48 graded market predictions across 16 completed games, including the markets PLP IQ passed on. Not the official PLP IQ record.
2026 Regular Season PLP IQ Performance
Games Graded
16
completed NFL games
Market Predictions Graded
48
up to 3 per game
Official Plays
17
graded PLAY markets
Official Best Plays
10–7–0
58.8%
17 recommended official markets graded (BET + LEAN) — only PASS excluded
Official Record By Market
Straight Up
5-3-0
62.5%
Point Spread
4-0-0
100%
ATS
Over / Under
1-4-0
20%
Raw Model Performance — All Graded Markets
Straight Up
9-7-0
56.3%
Point Spread
10-4-2
71.4%
ATS
Over / Under
7-9-0
43.8%
By Recommendation Strength
Play
2-1-0
66.7%
Lean
8-6-0
57.1%
Pass
16-13-2
55.2%
By Pregame Confidence
<55%
7-7-1
50%
55-64%
10-8-0
55.6%
65-74%
9-5-1
64.3%
75%+
0-0-0
—
Best Plays By Wager Type
Moneyline
1-0-0
100%
Spread
1-0-0
100%
Over
0-0-0
—
Under
0-1-0
0%
Volume & Classification
Games Graded
16
Market Predictions Graded
48
Official Plays
17
Games Pending
0
Markets Pending
0
Passed Markets
31
Raw PLAY
3
Raw LEAN
14
Raw PASS
31
Avg IQ on Winning Plays
69.5
Avg Conf on Winning Plays
69%
Play Streak
1L
Recent Official Plays
Last 10 Plays
2-1-0
66.7%
Last 20 Plays
2-1-0
66.7%
Tracked, Not Official
LEAN (tracked)
8-6-0
57.1%
PASS (tracked)
16-13-2
55.2%
LEAN and PASS outcomes are graded internally so the model can be evaluated, but they never count toward the official PLP IQ Best Plays record.
Average distance between PLP IQ's locked projected score and the real final score.
Avg Team Score Err
7
Avg Total Err
12.1
Avg Margin Err
6.7
Week 4
Official record · 0 markets pending
Games Graded
16
completed NFL games
Market Predictions Graded
48
up to 3 per game
Official Plays
17
graded PLAY markets
Official Record By Market
Straight Up
5-3-0
62.5%
Spread
4-0-0
100%
Total
1-4-0
20%
Raw Model — All Graded Markets
Straight Up
9-7-0
56.3%
Spread
10-4-2
71.4%
Total
7-9-0
43.8%
Straight Up
PASSSpread
PASSOver / Under
❌ LOSSGame record (official markets): 0–1
Locked lines used for grading — spread NO -1.5 · total 47.5 · pregame confidence 53% · recommendation LEAN
PLP IQ picks — straight up ATL · spread ATL +1.5 · O/U Under 47.5
Straight Up
❌ LOSSSpread
✅ WINOver / Under
PASSGame record (official markets): 1–1
Locked lines used for grading — spread DET -4.5 · total 52.5 · pregame confidence 63% · recommendation LEAN
PLP IQ picks — straight up DET · spread CAR +4.5 · O/U Over 52.5
Straight Up
✅ WINSpread
PASSOver / Under
❌ LOSSGame record (official markets): 1–1
Locked lines used for grading — spread KC -4.5 · total 47.5 · pregame confidence 61% · recommendation PLAY
PLP IQ picks — straight up KC · spread KC -4.5 · O/U Under 47.5
Straight Up
PASSSpread
PASSOver / Under
PASSGame record (official markets): 0–0
Locked lines used for grading — spread SF -3 · total 48.5 · pregame confidence 52% · recommendation PASS
PLP IQ picks — straight up SF · spread SF -3 · O/U Under 48.5
Straight Up
✅ WINSpread
PASSOver / Under
❌ LOSSGame record (official markets): 1–1
Locked lines used for grading — spread SEA -7 · total 42.5 · pregame confidence 70% · recommendation LEAN
PLP IQ picks — straight up SEA · spread SEA -7 · O/U Under 42.5
Straight Up
✅ WINSpread
PASSOver / Under
✅ WINGame record (official markets): 2–0
Locked lines used for grading — spread MIN -10 · total 38.5 · pregame confidence 73% · recommendation PLAY
PLP IQ picks — straight up MIN · spread MIA +10 · O/U Under 38.5
Straight Up
PASSSpread
PASSOver / Under
PASSGame record (official markets): 0–0
Locked lines used for grading — spread HOU -3 · total 48.5 · pregame confidence 59% · recommendation PASS
PLP IQ picks — straight up HOU · spread HOU -3 · O/U Over 48.5
Straight Up
PASSSpread
PASSOver / Under
PASSGame record (official markets): 0–0
Locked lines used for grading — spread LAR -3.5 · total 42.5 · pregame confidence — · recommendation PASS
PLP IQ picks — straight up LAR · spread PHI +3.5 · O/U Under 42.5
Straight Up
✅ WINSpread
✅ WINOver / Under
PASSGame record (official markets): 2–0
Locked lines used for grading — spread BAL -11.5 · total 42.5 · pregame confidence 63% · recommendation LEAN
PLP IQ picks — straight up BAL · spread TEN +11.5 · O/U Under 42.5
Straight Up
❌ LOSSSpread
✅ WINOver / Under
PASSGame record (official markets): 1–1
Locked lines used for grading — spread CIN -2.5 · total 51.5 · pregame confidence 65% · recommendation PLAY
PLP IQ picks — straight up CIN · spread JAX +2.5 · O/U Over 51.5
Straight Up
✅ WINSpread
✅ WINOver / Under
PASSGame record (official markets): 2–0
Locked lines used for grading — spread CHI -3.5 · total 43.5 · pregame confidence 73% · recommendation LEAN
PLP IQ picks — straight up CHI · spread CHI -3.5 · O/U Over 43.5
Straight Up
PASSSpread
PASSOver / Under
PASSGame record (official markets): 0–0
Locked lines used for grading — spread ARI -2.5 · total 43.5 · pregame confidence 54% · recommendation PASS
PLP IQ picks — straight up ARI · spread NYG +2.5 · O/U Under 43.5
Straight Up
❌ LOSSSpread
PASSOver / Under
PASSGame record (official markets): 0–1
Locked lines used for grading — spread BUF -7 · total 49.5 · pregame confidence 70% · recommendation LEAN
PLP IQ picks — straight up BUF · spread NE +7 · O/U Over 49.5
Straight Up
PASSSpread
PASSOver / Under
PASSGame record (official markets): 0–0
Locked lines used for grading — spread GB -3 · total 39.5 · pregame confidence 51% · recommendation PASS
PLP IQ picks — straight up TB · spread TB +3 · O/U Over 39.5
Straight Up
PASSSpread
PASSOver / Under
PASSGame record (official markets): 0–0
Locked lines used for grading — spread IND -4.5 · total 46.5 · pregame confidence 59% · recommendation PASS
PLP IQ picks — straight up IND · spread IND -4.5 · O/U Under 46.5
Straight Up
PASSSpread
PASSOver / Under
❌ LOSSGame record (official markets): 0–1
Locked lines used for grading — spread PIT -2.5 · total 38.5 · pregame confidence 62% · recommendation LEAN
PLP IQ picks — straight up PIT · spread PIT -2.5 · O/U Under 38.5
Historical predictions and their locked sportsbook lines are permanent and are never edited, replaced or deleted. All results are probabilistic model outcomes, not guarantees.
PLP IQ is not a sportsbook and does not accept bets or wagers. Predictions, ratings, and analysis are provided for informational and entertainment purposes only, and contest entry is free.
PLP IQ is an independent prediction platform and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by the National Football League or any NFL team.
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