Track PLP IQ straight-up, ATS and over/under prediction results. Every pick below was locked before kickoff and graded against the sportsbook line stored at that moment.
Prediction storage & final-score grading online · last successful update Nov 9, 6:47 AM
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Confidence Calibration
Stated confidence vs. what that band really produced. PLP IQ shrinks future confidence toward these numbers once a band has a meaningful sample.
Market
No graded ATS predictions yet — calibration starts once games finish.
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Outcome
Official PLP IQ Record
2026 Regular Season
Games Graded
16
completed NFL games
Market Predictions Graded
48
up to 3 per game
Official Plays
19
graded PLAY markets
Official Best Plays — Overall
8–11–0
42.1%
19 official recommended plays graded (BET + LEAN) · 0 pending · 29 passed and excluded
Win % = wins ÷ (wins + losses). Pushes never count either way.
Official Breakdown By Market
Straight Up
5–4–0
55.6%
9 graded · 0 pending
Spread / ATS
0–3–0
0%
3 graded · 0 pending
Totals
3–4–0
42.9%
7 graded · 0 pending
These three official records add up exactly to the Official Best Plays record above (8 wins · 11 losses · 0 pushes). Markets where the official PLP IQ pick was PASS or a non-actionable LEAN are tracked but never enter this record.
Raw Model Performance — All Graded Markets
Straight Up
8–8–0
50%
16 graded · 0 pending
Spread
6–10–0
37.5%
16 graded · 0 pending
Totals
7–9–0
43.8%
16 graded · 0 pending
All Markets
21–27–0
43.8%
48 graded · 0 pending
Raw-model statistics only — all 48 graded market predictions across 16 completed games, including the markets PLP IQ passed on. Not the official PLP IQ record.
2026 Regular Season PLP IQ Performance
Games Graded
16
completed NFL games
Market Predictions Graded
48
up to 3 per game
Official Plays
19
graded PLAY markets
Official Best Plays
8–11–0
42.1%
19 recommended official markets graded (BET + LEAN) — only PASS excluded
Official Record By Market
Straight Up
5-4-0
55.6%
Point Spread
0-3-0
0%
ATS
Over / Under
3-4-0
42.9%
Raw Model Performance — All Graded Markets
Straight Up
8-8-0
50%
Point Spread
6-10-0
37.5%
ATS
Over / Under
7-9-0
43.8%
By Recommendation Strength
Play
1-1-0
50%
Lean
7-10-0
41.2%
Pass
13-16-0
44.8%
By Pregame Confidence
<55%
2-4-0
33.3%
55-64%
14-13-0
51.9%
65-74%
5-10-0
33.3%
75%+
0-0-0
—
Best Plays By Wager Type
Moneyline
0-0-0
—
Spread
0-0-0
—
Over
0-1-0
0%
Under
1-0-0
100%
Volume & Classification
Games Graded
16
Market Predictions Graded
48
Official Plays
19
Games Pending
0
Markets Pending
0
Passed Markets
29
Raw PLAY
2
Raw LEAN
17
Raw PASS
29
Avg IQ on Winning Plays
57
Avg Conf on Winning Plays
58%
Play Streak
1W
Recent Official Plays
Last 10 Plays
1-1-0
50%
Last 20 Plays
1-1-0
50%
Tracked, Not Official
LEAN (tracked)
7-10-0
41.2%
PASS (tracked)
13-16-0
44.8%
LEAN and PASS outcomes are graded internally so the model can be evaluated, but they never count toward the official PLP IQ Best Plays record.
Average distance between PLP IQ's locked projected score and the real final score.
Avg Team Score Err
9
Avg Total Err
12.3
Avg Margin Err
13.4
Week 2
Official record · 0 markets pending
Games Graded
16
completed NFL games
Market Predictions Graded
48
up to 3 per game
Official Plays
19
graded PLAY markets
Official Record By Market
Straight Up
5-4-0
55.6%
Spread
0-3-0
0%
Total
3-4-0
42.9%
Raw Model — All Graded Markets
Straight Up
8-8-0
50%
Spread
6-10-0
37.5%
Total
7-9-0
43.8%
Straight Up
✅ WINSpread
PASSOver / Under
PASSGame record (official markets): 1–0
Locked lines used for grading — spread LAR -6.5 · total 47.5 · pregame confidence 60% · recommendation LEAN
PLP IQ picks — straight up LAR · spread NYG +6.5 · O/U Over 47.5
Straight Up
✅ WINSpread
PASSOver / Under
PASSGame record (official markets): 1–0
Locked lines used for grading — spread KC -6 · total 46.5 · pregame confidence 70% · recommendation LEAN
PLP IQ picks — straight up KC · spread KC -6 · O/U Over 46.5
Straight Up
✅ WINSpread
PASSOver / Under
✅ WINGame record (official markets): 2–0
Locked lines used for grading — spread SF -13.5 · total 44.5 · pregame confidence 74% · recommendation LEAN
PLP IQ picks — straight up SF · spread MIA +13.5 · O/U Over 44.5
Straight Up
PASSSpread
❌ LOSSOver / Under
PASSGame record (official markets): 0–1
Locked lines used for grading — spread DAL -3.5 · total 50.5 · pregame confidence 51% · recommendation LEAN
PLP IQ picks — straight up WSH · spread WSH +3.5 · O/U Over 50.5
Straight Up
PASSSpread
PASSOver / Under
PASSGame record (official markets): 0–0
Locked lines used for grading — spread SEA -3.5 · total 40.5 · pregame confidence 55% · recommendation PASS
PLP IQ picks — straight up SEA · spread ARI +3.5 · O/U Over 40.5
Straight Up
❌ LOSSSpread
❌ LOSSOver / Under
✅ WINGame record (official markets): 1–2
Locked lines used for grading — spread DEN -2.5 · total 45.5 · pregame confidence 60% · recommendation LEAN
PLP IQ picks — straight up JAX · spread JAX +2.5 · O/U Under 45.5
Straight Up
PASSSpread
PASSOver / Under
✅ WINGame record (official markets): 1–0
Locked lines used for grading — spread LAC -6.5 · total 43.5 · pregame confidence 58% · recommendation PLAY
PLP IQ picks — straight up LAC · spread LV +6.5 · O/U Under 43.5
Straight Up
PASSSpread
PASSOver / Under
PASSGame record (official markets): 0–0
Locked lines used for grading — spread NE -5.5 · total 41.5 · pregame confidence 59% · recommendation PASS
PLP IQ picks — straight up NE · spread PIT +5.5 · O/U Under 41.5
Straight Up
PASSSpread
PASSOver / Under
PASSGame record (official markets): 0–0
Locked lines used for grading — spread CHI -4.5 · total 46.5 · pregame confidence 54% · recommendation PASS
PLP IQ picks — straight up CHI · spread MIN +4.5 · O/U Over 46.5
Straight Up
✅ WINSpread
PASSOver / Under
PASSGame record (official markets): 1–0
Locked lines used for grading — spread PHI -7 · total 39.5 · pregame confidence 64% · recommendation LEAN
PLP IQ picks — straight up PHI · spread TEN +7 · O/U Under 39.5
Straight Up
❌ LOSSSpread
PASSOver / Under
❌ LOSSGame record (official markets): 0–2
Locked lines used for grading — spread TB -8.5 · total 41.5 · pregame confidence 70% · recommendation LEAN
PLP IQ picks — straight up TB · spread CLE +8.5 · O/U Under 41.5
Straight Up
PASSSpread
PASSOver / Under
❌ LOSSGame record (official markets): 0–1
Locked lines used for grading — spread GB -3.5 · total 44.5 · pregame confidence 55% · recommendation LEAN
PLP IQ picks — straight up GB · spread NYJ +3.5 · O/U Over 44.5
Straight Up
❌ LOSSSpread
❌ LOSSOver / Under
PASSGame record (official markets): 0–2
Locked lines used for grading — spread CAR -2.5 · total 43.5 · pregame confidence 67% · recommendation LEAN
PLP IQ picks — straight up ATL · spread ATL +2.5 · O/U Over 43.5
Straight Up
PASSSpread
PASSOver / Under
❌ LOSSGame record (official markets): 0–1
Locked lines used for grading — spread HOU -3 · total 45.5 · pregame confidence 58% · recommendation LEAN
PLP IQ picks — straight up HOU · spread CIN +3 · O/U Over 45.5
Straight Up
❌ LOSSSpread
PASSOver / Under
❌ LOSSGame record (official markets): 0–2
Locked lines used for grading — spread BAL -8.5 · total 45.5 · pregame confidence 71% · recommendation PLAY
PLP IQ picks — straight up BAL · spread BAL -8.5 · O/U Over 45.5
Straight Up
✅ WINSpread
PASSOver / Under
PASSGame record (official markets): 1–0
Locked lines used for grading — spread BUF -5.5 · total 54.5 · pregame confidence 60% · recommendation LEAN
PLP IQ picks — straight up BUF · spread DET +5.5 · O/U Over 54.5
Historical predictions and their locked sportsbook lines are permanent and are never edited, replaced or deleted. All results are probabilistic model outcomes, not guarantees.
PLP IQ is not a sportsbook and does not accept bets or wagers. Predictions, ratings, and analysis are provided for informational and entertainment purposes only, and contest entry is free.
PLP IQ is an independent prediction platform and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by the National Football League or any NFL team.
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