Track PLP IQ straight-up, ATS and over/under prediction results. Every pick below was locked before kickoff and graded against the sportsbook line stored at that moment.
Prediction storage & final-score grading online · last successful update Nov 9, 6:47 AM
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Timestamped Prediction Ledger
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Confidence Calibration
Stated confidence vs. what that band really produced. PLP IQ shrinks future confidence toward these numbers once a band has a meaningful sample.
Market
No graded ATS predictions yet — calibration starts once games finish.
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Market
Outcome
Official PLP IQ Record
2026 Regular Season
Games Graded
14
completed NFL games
Market Predictions Graded
42
up to 3 per game
Official Plays
23
graded PLAY markets
Official Best Plays — Overall
11–12–0
47.8%
23 official recommended plays graded (BET + LEAN) · 0 pending · 19 passed and excluded
Win % = wins ÷ (wins + losses). Pushes never count either way.
Official Breakdown By Market
Straight Up
7–6–0
53.8%
13 graded · 0 pending
Spread / ATS
2–3–0
40%
5 graded · 0 pending
Totals
2–3–0
40%
5 graded · 0 pending
These three official records add up exactly to the Official Best Plays record above (11 wins · 12 losses · 0 pushes). Markets where the official PLP IQ pick was PASS or a non-actionable LEAN are tracked but never enter this record.
Raw Model Performance — All Graded Markets
Straight Up
8–6–0
57.1%
14 graded · 0 pending
Spread
7–7–0
50%
14 graded · 0 pending
Totals
6–8–0
42.9%
14 graded · 0 pending
All Markets
21–21–0
50%
42 graded · 0 pending
Raw-model statistics only — all 42 graded market predictions across 14 completed games, including the markets PLP IQ passed on. Not the official PLP IQ record.
2026 Regular Season PLP IQ Performance
Games Graded
14
completed NFL games
Market Predictions Graded
42
up to 3 per game
Official Plays
23
graded PLAY markets
Official Best Plays
11–12–0
47.8%
23 recommended official markets graded (BET + LEAN) — only PASS excluded
Official Record By Market
Straight Up
7-6-0
53.8%
Point Spread
2-3-0
40%
ATS
Over / Under
2-3-0
40%
Raw Model Performance — All Graded Markets
Straight Up
8-6-0
57.1%
Point Spread
7-7-0
50%
ATS
Over / Under
6-8-0
42.9%
By Recommendation Strength
Play
5-2-0
71.4%
Lean
6-10-0
37.5%
Pass
10-9-0
52.6%
By Pregame Confidence
<55%
3-3-0
50%
55-64%
3-6-0
33.3%
65-74%
11-7-0
61.1%
75%+
4-5-0
44.4%
Best Plays By Wager Type
Moneyline
5-2-0
71.4%
Spread
0-0-0
—
Over
0-0-0
—
Under
0-0-0
—
Volume & Classification
Games Graded
14
Market Predictions Graded
42
Official Plays
23
Games Pending
0
Markets Pending
0
Passed Markets
19
Raw PLAY
7
Raw LEAN
16
Raw PASS
19
Avg IQ on Winning Plays
66.2
Avg Conf on Winning Plays
71.4%
Play Streak
4W
Recent Official Plays
Last 10 Plays
5-2-0
71.4%
Last 20 Plays
5-2-0
71.4%
Tracked, Not Official
LEAN (tracked)
6-10-0
37.5%
PASS (tracked)
10-9-0
52.6%
LEAN and PASS outcomes are graded internally so the model can be evaluated, but they never count toward the official PLP IQ Best Plays record.
Projected Score Accuracy
Average distance between PLP IQ's locked projected score and the real final score.
Avg Team Score Err
8.4
Avg Total Err
11.1
Avg Margin Err
11.7
Weekly Performance
Week 7
Official record · 0 markets pending
11–12–0
Games Graded
14
completed NFL games
Market Predictions Graded
42
up to 3 per game
Official Plays
23
graded PLAY markets
Official Record By Market
Straight Up
7-6-0
53.8%
Spread
2-3-0
40%
Total
2-3-0
40%
Raw Model — All Graded Markets
Straight Up
8-6-0
57.1%
Spread
7-7-0
50%
Total
6-8-0
42.9%
Completed Games
Straight Up
✅ WIN
Spread
PASS
Over / Under
✅ WIN
Straight UpDAL✅ WIN
SpreadDAL -4.5PASS
TotalOver 43.5✅ WIN
Game record (official markets): 2–0
Locked lines used for grading — spread DAL -4.5 · total 43.5 · pregame confidence 65% · recommendation PLAY
PLP IQ picks — straight up DAL · spread DAL -4.5 · O/U Over 43.5
Straight Up
❌ LOSS
Spread
❌ LOSS
Over / Under
PASS
Straight UpKC❌ LOSS
SpreadKC +3❌ LOSS
TotalUnder 43.5PASS
Game record (official markets): 0–2
Locked lines used for grading — spread SEA -3 · total 43.5 · pregame confidence 58% · recommendation LEAN
PLP IQ picks — straight up KC · spread KC +3 · O/U Under 43.5
Straight Up
❌ LOSS
Spread
PASS
Over / Under
PASS
Straight UpLV❌ LOSS
SpreadLV +3.5PASS
TotalOver 48.5PASS
Game record (official markets): 0–1
Locked lines used for grading — spread LAR -3.5 · total 48.5 · pregame confidence 53% · recommendation LEAN
PLP IQ picks — straight up LV · spread LV +3.5 · O/U Over 48.5
Straight Up
✅ WIN
Spread
PASS
Over / Under
❌ LOSS
Straight UpDET✅ WIN
SpreadGB +3.5PASS
TotalOver 55.5❌ LOSS
Game record (official markets): 1–1
Locked lines used for grading — spread DET -3.5 · total 55.5 · pregame confidence 56% · recommendation LEAN
PLP IQ picks — straight up DET · spread GB +3.5 · O/U Over 55.5
Straight Up
✅ WIN
Spread
✅ WIN
Over / Under
❌ LOSS
Straight UpDEN✅ WIN
SpreadDEN -4.5✅ WIN
TotalUnder 43.5❌ LOSS
Game record (official markets): 2–1
Locked lines used for grading — spread DEN -4.5 · total 43.5 · pregame confidence 74% · recommendation PLAY
PLP IQ picks — straight up DEN · spread DEN -4.5 · O/U Under 43.5
Straight Up
✅ WIN
Spread
✅ WIN
Over / Under
PASS
Straight UpCIN✅ WIN
SpreadCIN -3✅ WIN
TotalUnder 46.5PASS
Game record (official markets): 2–0
Locked lines used for grading — spread CIN -3 · total 46.5 · pregame confidence 66% · recommendation PLAY
PLP IQ picks — straight up CIN · spread CIN -3 · O/U Under 46.5
Straight Up
✅ WIN
Spread
PASS
Over / Under
PASS
Straight UpCLE✅ WIN
SpreadCLE -1.5PASS
TotalUnder 36.5PASS
Game record (official markets): 1–0
Locked lines used for grading — spread CLE -1.5 · total 36.5 · pregame confidence 65% · recommendation LEAN
PLP IQ picks — straight up CLE · spread CLE -1.5 · O/U Under 36.5
Straight Up
✅ WIN
Spread
❌ LOSS
Over / Under
PASS
Straight UpMIN✅ WIN
SpreadMIN -6.5❌ LOSS
TotalUnder 41.5PASS
Game record (official markets): 1–1
Locked lines used for grading — spread MIN -6.5 · total 41.5 · pregame confidence 84% · recommendation PLAY
PLP IQ picks — straight up MIN · spread MIN -6.5 · O/U Under 41.5
Straight Up
❌ LOSS
Spread
❌ LOSS
Over / Under
PASS
Straight UpSF❌ LOSS
SpreadSF -2.5❌ LOSS
TotalOver 49.5PASS
Game record (official markets): 0–2
Locked lines used for grading — spread SF -2.5 · total 49.5 · pregame confidence 77% · recommendation PLAY
PLP IQ picks — straight up SF · spread SF -2.5 · O/U Over 49.5
Straight Up
❌ LOSS
Spread
PASS
Over / Under
❌ LOSS
Straight UpNYJ❌ LOSS
SpreadNYJ -3.5PASS
TotalUnder 39.5❌ LOSS
Game record (official markets): 0–2
Locked lines used for grading — spread NYJ -3.5 · total 39.5 · pregame confidence 68% · recommendation LEAN
PLP IQ picks — straight up NYJ · spread NYJ -3.5 · O/U Under 39.5
Straight Up
❌ LOSS
Spread
PASS
Over / Under
✅ WIN
Straight UpHOU❌ LOSS
SpreadNYG +10PASS
TotalOver 42.5✅ WIN
Game record (official markets): 1–1
Locked lines used for grading — spread HOU -10 · total 42.5 · pregame confidence 80% · recommendation PLAY
PLP IQ picks — straight up HOU · spread NYG +10 · O/U Over 42.5
Straight Up
❌ LOSS
Spread
PASS
Over / Under
PASS
Straight UpCAR❌ LOSS
SpreadCAR -3PASS
TotalUnder 44.5PASS
Game record (official markets): 0–1
Locked lines used for grading — spread CAR -3 · total 44.5 · pregame confidence 61% · recommendation LEAN
PLP IQ picks — straight up CAR · spread CAR -3 · O/U Under 44.5
Straight Up
✅ WIN
Spread
PASS
Over / Under
PASS
Straight UpPIT✅ WIN
SpreadPIT -3PASS
TotalOver 43.5PASS
Game record (official markets): 1–0
Locked lines used for grading — spread PIT -3 · total 43.5 · pregame confidence 68% · recommendation PLAY
PLP IQ picks — straight up PIT · spread PIT -3 · O/U Over 43.5
Straight Up
PASS
Spread
PASS
Over / Under
PASS
Straight UpCHIPASS
SpreadNE +3PASS
TotalOver 50.5PASS
Game record (official markets): 0–0
Locked lines used for grading — spread CHI -3 · total 50.5 · pregame confidence 54% · recommendation PASS
PLP IQ picks — straight up CHI · spread NE +3 · O/U Over 50.5
Historical predictions and their locked sportsbook lines are permanent and are never edited, replaced or deleted. All results are probabilistic model outcomes, not guarantees.
PLP IQ is not a sportsbook and does not accept bets or wagers. Predictions, ratings, and analysis are provided for informational and entertainment purposes only, and contest entry is free.
PLP IQ is an independent prediction platform and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by the National Football League or any NFL team.