PLP IQ — Play • Lean • Pass

🏆 NFL Prediction Results & Performance

Track PLP IQ straight-up, ATS and over/under prediction results. Every pick below was locked before kickoff and graded against the sportsbook line stored at that moment.

Prediction storage & final-score grading online · last successful update Nov 9, 6:47 AM

Permanent locked record

Timestamped Prediction Ledger

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Confidence Calibration

Stated confidence vs. what that band really produced. PLP IQ shrinks future confidence toward these numbers once a band has a meaningful sample.

Market

No graded ATS predictions yet — calibration starts once games finish.

Filters

Week

Classification

Market

Outcome

Official PLP IQ Record

2026 Regular Season

Games Graded

14

completed NFL games

Market Predictions Graded

42

up to 3 per game

Official Plays

23

graded PLAY markets

Official Best Plays — Overall

11–12–0

47.8%

23 official recommended plays graded (BET + LEAN) · 0 pending · 19 passed and excluded

Win % = wins ÷ (wins + losses). Pushes never count either way.

Official Breakdown By Market

Straight Up

7–6–0

53.8%

13 graded · 0 pending

Spread / ATS

2–3–0

40%

5 graded · 0 pending

Totals

2–3–0

40%

5 graded · 0 pending

These three official records add up exactly to the Official Best Plays record above (11 wins · 12 losses · 0 pushes). Markets where the official PLP IQ pick was PASS or a non-actionable LEAN are tracked but never enter this record.

Raw Model Performance — All Graded Markets

Straight Up

8–6–0

57.1%

14 graded · 0 pending

Spread

7–7–0

50%

14 graded · 0 pending

Totals

6–8–0

42.9%

14 graded · 0 pending

All Markets

21–21–0

50%

42 graded · 0 pending

Raw-model statistics only — all 42 graded market predictions across 14 completed games, including the markets PLP IQ passed on. Not the official PLP IQ record.

2026 Regular Season PLP IQ Performance

Games Graded

14

completed NFL games

Market Predictions Graded

42

up to 3 per game

Official Plays

23

graded PLAY markets

Official Best Plays

11–12–0

47.8%

23 recommended official markets graded (BET + LEAN) — only PASS excluded

Official Record By Market

Straight Up

7-6-0

53.8%

Point Spread

2-3-0

40%

ATS

Over / Under

2-3-0

40%

Raw Model Performance — All Graded Markets

Straight Up

8-6-0

57.1%

Point Spread

7-7-0

50%

ATS

Over / Under

6-8-0

42.9%

By Recommendation Strength

Play

5-2-0

71.4%

Lean

6-10-0

37.5%

Pass

10-9-0

52.6%

By Pregame Confidence

<55%

3-3-0

50%

55-64%

3-6-0

33.3%

65-74%

11-7-0

61.1%

75%+

4-5-0

44.4%

Best Plays By Wager Type

Moneyline

5-2-0

71.4%

Spread

0-0-0

—

Over

0-0-0

—

Under

0-0-0

—

Volume & Classification

Games Graded

14

Market Predictions Graded

42

Official Plays

23

Games Pending

0

Markets Pending

0

Passed Markets

19

Raw PLAY

7

Raw LEAN

16

Raw PASS

19

Avg IQ on Winning Plays

66.2

Avg Conf on Winning Plays

71.4%

Play Streak

4W

Recent Official Plays

Last 10 Plays

5-2-0

71.4%

Last 20 Plays

5-2-0

71.4%

Tracked, Not Official

LEAN (tracked)

6-10-0

37.5%

PASS (tracked)

10-9-0

52.6%

LEAN and PASS outcomes are graded internally so the model can be evaluated, but they never count toward the official PLP IQ Best Plays record.

Projected Score Accuracy

Average distance between PLP IQ's locked projected score and the real final score.

Avg Team Score Err

8.4

Avg Total Err

11.1

Avg Margin Err

11.7

Weekly Performance

Week 7

Official record · 0 markets pending

11–12–0

Games Graded

14

completed NFL games

Market Predictions Graded

42

up to 3 per game

Official Plays

23

graded PLAY markets

Official Record By Market

Straight Up

7-6-0

53.8%

Spread

2-3-0

40%

Total

2-3-0

40%

Raw Model — All Graded Markets

Straight Up

8-6-0

57.1%

Spread

7-7-0

50%

Total

6-8-0

42.9%

Completed Games

Straight Up

✅ WIN

Spread

PASS

Over / Under

✅ WIN
Straight UpDAL✅ WIN
SpreadDAL -4.5PASS
TotalOver 43.5✅ WIN

Game record (official markets): 2–0

Locked lines used for grading — spread DAL -4.5 · total 43.5 · pregame confidence 65% · recommendation PLAY

PLP IQ picks — straight up DAL · spread DAL -4.5 · O/U Over 43.5

Straight Up

❌ LOSS

Spread

❌ LOSS

Over / Under

PASS
Straight UpKC❌ LOSS
SpreadKC +3❌ LOSS
TotalUnder 43.5PASS

Game record (official markets): 0–2

Locked lines used for grading — spread SEA -3 · total 43.5 · pregame confidence 58% · recommendation LEAN

PLP IQ picks — straight up KC · spread KC +3 · O/U Under 43.5

Straight Up

❌ LOSS

Spread

PASS

Over / Under

PASS
Straight UpLV❌ LOSS
SpreadLV +3.5PASS
TotalOver 48.5PASS

Game record (official markets): 0–1

Locked lines used for grading — spread LAR -3.5 · total 48.5 · pregame confidence 53% · recommendation LEAN

PLP IQ picks — straight up LV · spread LV +3.5 · O/U Over 48.5

Straight Up

✅ WIN

Spread

PASS

Over / Under

❌ LOSS
Straight UpDET✅ WIN
SpreadGB +3.5PASS
TotalOver 55.5❌ LOSS

Game record (official markets): 1–1

Locked lines used for grading — spread DET -3.5 · total 55.5 · pregame confidence 56% · recommendation LEAN

PLP IQ picks — straight up DET · spread GB +3.5 · O/U Over 55.5

Straight Up

✅ WIN

Spread

✅ WIN

Over / Under

❌ LOSS
Straight UpDEN✅ WIN
SpreadDEN -4.5✅ WIN
TotalUnder 43.5❌ LOSS

Game record (official markets): 2–1

Locked lines used for grading — spread DEN -4.5 · total 43.5 · pregame confidence 74% · recommendation PLAY

PLP IQ picks — straight up DEN · spread DEN -4.5 · O/U Under 43.5

Straight Up

✅ WIN

Spread

✅ WIN

Over / Under

PASS
Straight UpCIN✅ WIN
SpreadCIN -3✅ WIN
TotalUnder 46.5PASS

Game record (official markets): 2–0

Locked lines used for grading — spread CIN -3 · total 46.5 · pregame confidence 66% · recommendation PLAY

PLP IQ picks — straight up CIN · spread CIN -3 · O/U Under 46.5

Straight Up

✅ WIN

Spread

PASS

Over / Under

PASS
Straight UpCLE✅ WIN
SpreadCLE -1.5PASS
TotalUnder 36.5PASS

Game record (official markets): 1–0

Locked lines used for grading — spread CLE -1.5 · total 36.5 · pregame confidence 65% · recommendation LEAN

PLP IQ picks — straight up CLE · spread CLE -1.5 · O/U Under 36.5

Straight Up

✅ WIN

Spread

❌ LOSS

Over / Under

PASS
Straight UpMIN✅ WIN
SpreadMIN -6.5❌ LOSS
TotalUnder 41.5PASS

Game record (official markets): 1–1

Locked lines used for grading — spread MIN -6.5 · total 41.5 · pregame confidence 84% · recommendation PLAY

PLP IQ picks — straight up MIN · spread MIN -6.5 · O/U Under 41.5

Straight Up

❌ LOSS

Spread

❌ LOSS

Over / Under

PASS
Straight UpSF❌ LOSS
SpreadSF -2.5❌ LOSS
TotalOver 49.5PASS

Game record (official markets): 0–2

Locked lines used for grading — spread SF -2.5 · total 49.5 · pregame confidence 77% · recommendation PLAY

PLP IQ picks — straight up SF · spread SF -2.5 · O/U Over 49.5

Straight Up

❌ LOSS

Spread

PASS

Over / Under

❌ LOSS
Straight UpNYJ❌ LOSS
SpreadNYJ -3.5PASS
TotalUnder 39.5❌ LOSS

Game record (official markets): 0–2

Locked lines used for grading — spread NYJ -3.5 · total 39.5 · pregame confidence 68% · recommendation LEAN

PLP IQ picks — straight up NYJ · spread NYJ -3.5 · O/U Under 39.5

Straight Up

❌ LOSS

Spread

PASS

Over / Under

✅ WIN
Straight UpHOU❌ LOSS
SpreadNYG +10PASS
TotalOver 42.5✅ WIN

Game record (official markets): 1–1

Locked lines used for grading — spread HOU -10 · total 42.5 · pregame confidence 80% · recommendation PLAY

PLP IQ picks — straight up HOU · spread NYG +10 · O/U Over 42.5

Straight Up

❌ LOSS

Spread

PASS

Over / Under

PASS
Straight UpCAR❌ LOSS
SpreadCAR -3PASS
TotalUnder 44.5PASS

Game record (official markets): 0–1

Locked lines used for grading — spread CAR -3 · total 44.5 · pregame confidence 61% · recommendation LEAN

PLP IQ picks — straight up CAR · spread CAR -3 · O/U Under 44.5

Straight Up

✅ WIN

Spread

PASS

Over / Under

PASS
Straight UpPIT✅ WIN
SpreadPIT -3PASS
TotalOver 43.5PASS

Game record (official markets): 1–0

Locked lines used for grading — spread PIT -3 · total 43.5 · pregame confidence 68% · recommendation PLAY

PLP IQ picks — straight up PIT · spread PIT -3 · O/U Over 43.5

Straight Up

PASS

Spread

PASS

Over / Under

PASS
Straight UpCHIPASS
SpreadNE +3PASS
TotalOver 50.5PASS

Game record (official markets): 0–0

Locked lines used for grading — spread CHI -3 · total 50.5 · pregame confidence 54% · recommendation PASS

PLP IQ picks — straight up CHI · spread NE +3 · O/U Over 50.5

Historical predictions and their locked sportsbook lines are permanent and are never edited, replaced or deleted. All results are probabilistic model outcomes, not guarantees.

PLP IQ is not a sportsbook and does not accept bets or wagers. Predictions, ratings, and analysis are provided for informational and entertainment purposes only, and contest entry is free.

PLP IQ is an independent prediction platform and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by the National Football League or any NFL team.

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