Name: PLP IQ NFL Week 9 prediction results (SU, ATS, totals)
Creator: PLP IQ

Prediction storage & final-score grading online · last successful update Nov 9, 6:47 AM

Permanent locked record

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Confidence Calibration

Stated confidence vs. what that band really produced. PLP IQ shrinks future confidence toward these numbers once a band has a meaningful sample.

Market

No graded ATS predictions yet — calibration starts once games finish.

Filters

Week

Classification

Market

Outcome

Official PLP IQ Record

2026 Regular Season

Games Graded

completed NFL games

Market Predictions Graded

up to 3 per game

Official Plays

graded PLAY markets

Official Best Plays — Overall

18–3–0

85.7%

21 official recommended plays graded (BET + LEAN) · 2 pending · 22 passed and excluded

Win % = wins ÷ (wins + losses). Pushes never count either way.

Official Breakdown By Market

Straight Up

11–0–0

100%

11 graded · 1 pending

Spread / ATS

5–1–0

83.3%

6 graded · 0 pending

Totals

2–2–0

50%

4 graded · 1 pending

These three official records add up exactly to the Official Best Plays record above (18 wins · 3 losses · 0 pushes). Markets where the official PLP IQ pick was PASS or a non-actionable LEAN are tracked but never enter this record.

Raw Model Performance — All Graded Markets

Straight Up

13–1–0

92.9%

14 graded · 1 pending

Spread

9–5–0

64.3%

14 graded · 1 pending

Totals

6–8–0

42.9%

14 graded · 1 pending

All Markets

28–14–0

66.7%

42 graded · 3 pending

Raw-model statistics only — all 42 graded market predictions across 14 completed games, including the markets PLP IQ passed on. Not the official PLP IQ record.

2026 Regular Season PLP IQ Performance

Games Graded

completed NFL games

Market Predictions Graded

up to 3 per game

Official Plays

graded PLAY markets

Official Best Plays

18–3–0

85.7%

21 recommended official markets graded (BET + LEAN) — only PASS excluded

Official Record By Market

Straight Up

11-0-0

100%

Point Spread

5-1-0

83.3%

ATS

Over / Under

2-2-0

50%

Raw Model Performance — All Graded Markets

Straight Up

13-1-0

92.9%

Point Spread

9-5-0

64.3%

ATS

Over / Under

6-8-0

42.9%

By Recommendation Strength

Play

6-0-0

100%

Lean

12-3-0

80%

Pass

10-11-0

47.6%

By Pregame Confidence

<55%

6-3-0

66.7%

55-64%

3-0-0

100%

65-74%

7-8-0

46.7%

75%+

12-3-0

80%

Best Plays By Wager Type

Moneyline

6-0-0

100%

Spread

0-0-0

—

Over

0-0-0

—

Under

0-0-0

—

Volume & Classification

Games Graded

Market Predictions Graded

Official Plays

Games Pending

Markets Pending

Passed Markets

Raw PLAY

Raw LEAN

Raw PASS

Avg IQ on Winning Plays

73.7

Avg Conf on Winning Plays

80%

Play Streak

Recent Official Plays

Last 10 Plays

6-0-0

100%

Last 20 Plays

6-0-0

100%

Tracked, Not Official

LEAN (tracked)

12-3-0

80%

PASS (tracked)

10-11-0

47.6%

LEAN and PASS outcomes are graded internally so the model can be evaluated, but they never count toward the official PLP IQ Best Plays record.

Projected Score Accuracy

Average distance between PLP IQ's locked projected score and the real final score.

Avg Team Score Err

6.5

Avg Total Err

11.6

Avg Margin Err

5.9

Weekly Performance

Week 9

Official record · 2 markets pending

18–3–0

Games Graded

completed NFL games

Market Predictions Graded

up to 3 per game

Official Plays

graded PLAY markets

Official Record By Market

Straight Up

11-0-0

100%

Spread

5-1-0

83.3%

Total

2-2-0

50%

Raw Model — All Graded Markets

Straight Up

13-1-0

92.9%

Spread

9-5-0

64.3%

Total

6-8-0

42.9%

Completed Games

Straight Up

PASS

Spread

✅ WIN

Over / Under

❌ LOSS

Straight UpCHIPASS

SpreadTB +6.5✅ WIN

TotalUnder 47.5❌ LOSS

Game record (official markets): 1–1

Locked lines used for grading — spread CHI -6.5 · total 47.5 · pregame confidence 51% · recommendation LEAN

PLP IQ picks — straight up CHI · spread TB +6.5 · O/U Under 47.5

Straight Up

PASS

Spread

❌ LOSS

Over / Under

PASS

Straight UpSEAPASS

SpreadARI +8.5❌ LOSS

TotalOver 39.5PASS

Game record (official markets): 0–1

Locked lines used for grading — spread SEA -8.5 · total 39.5 · pregame confidence 74% · recommendation LEAN

PLP IQ picks — straight up SEA · spread ARI +8.5 · O/U Over 39.5

Straight Up

PASS

Spread

PASS

Over / Under

PASS

Straight UpNEPASS

SpreadGB +3PASS

TotalOver 44.5PASS

Game record (official markets): 0–0

Locked lines used for grading — spread NE -3 · total 44.5 · pregame confidence 53% · recommendation PASS

PLP IQ picks — straight up NE · spread GB +3 · O/U Over 44.5

Straight Up

✅ WIN

Spread

✅ WIN

Over / Under

✅ WIN

Straight UpSF✅ WIN

SpreadSF -8.5✅ WIN

TotalOver 51.5✅ WIN

Game record (official markets): 3–0

Locked lines used for grading — spread SF -8.5 · total 51.5 · pregame confidence 83% · recommendation PLAY

PLP IQ picks — straight up SF · spread SF -8.5 · O/U Over 51.5

Straight Up

✅ WIN

Spread

✅ WIN

Over / Under

❌ LOSS

Straight UpHOU✅ WIN

SpreadHOU -5.5✅ WIN

TotalUnder 40.5❌ LOSS

Game record (official markets): 2–1

Locked lines used for grading — spread HOU -5.5 · total 40.5 · pregame confidence 77% · recommendation PLAY

PLP IQ picks — straight up HOU · spread HOU -5.5 · O/U Under 40.5

Straight Up

✅ WIN

Spread

PASS

Over / Under

PASS

Straight UpDAL✅ WIN

SpreadIND +4.5PASS

TotalOver 51.5PASS

Game record (official markets): 1–0

Locked lines used for grading — spread DAL -4.5 · total 51.5 · pregame confidence 66% · recommendation LEAN

PLP IQ picks — straight up DAL · spread IND +4.5 · O/U Over 51.5

Straight Up

✅ WIN

Spread

PASS

Over / Under

PASS

Straight UpLAR✅ WIN

SpreadLAR -4.5PASS

TotalOver 47.5PASS

Game record (official markets): 1–0

Locked lines used for grading — spread LAR -4.5 · total 47.5 · pregame confidence 70% · recommendation PLAY

PLP IQ picks — straight up LAR · spread LAR -4.5 · O/U Over 47.5

Straight Up

✅ WIN

Spread

PASS

Over / Under

PASS

Straight UpDEN✅ WIN

SpreadDEN -3PASS

TotalOver 44.5PASS

Game record (official markets): 1–0

Locked lines used for grading — spread DEN -3 · total 44.5 · pregame confidence 60% · recommendation LEAN

PLP IQ picks — straight up DEN · spread DEN -3 · O/U Over 44.5

Straight Up

✅ WIN

Spread

PASS

Over / Under

PASS

Straight UpDET✅ WIN

SpreadMIA +6.5PASS

TotalOver 49.5PASS

Game record (official markets): 1–0

Locked lines used for grading — spread DET -6.5 · total 49.5 · pregame confidence 69% · recommendation LEAN

PLP IQ picks — straight up DET · spread MIA +6.5 · O/U Over 49.5

Straight Up

✅ WIN

Spread

✅ WIN

Over / Under

PASS

Straight UpNYG✅ WIN

SpreadNYG -3✅ WIN

TotalOver 38.5PASS

Game record (official markets): 2–0

Locked lines used for grading — spread NYG -3 · total 38.5 · pregame confidence 83% · recommendation PLAY

PLP IQ picks — straight up NYG · spread NYG -3 · O/U Over 38.5

Straight Up

✅ WIN

Spread

PASS

Over / Under

PASS

Straight UpKC✅ WIN

SpreadNYJ +9.5PASS

TotalOver 47.5PASS

Game record (official markets): 1–0

Locked lines used for grading — spread KC -9.5 · total 47.5 · pregame confidence 66% · recommendation LEAN

PLP IQ picks — straight up KC · spread NYJ +9.5 · O/U Over 47.5

Straight Up

✅ WIN

Spread

PASS

Over / Under

PASS

Straight UpNO✅ WIN

SpreadNO -3PASS

TotalOver 42.5PASS

Game record (official markets): 1–0

Locked lines used for grading — spread NO -3.5 · total 42.5 · pregame confidence 54% · recommendation LEAN

PLP IQ picks — straight up NO · spread NO -3 · O/U Over 42.5

Straight Up

✅ WIN

Spread

✅ WIN

Over / Under

PASS

Straight UpCIN✅ WIN

SpreadCIN -3✅ WIN

TotalUnder 52.5PASS

Game record (official markets): 2–0

Locked lines used for grading — spread CIN -3 · total 52.5 · pregame confidence 81% · recommendation PLAY

PLP IQ picks — straight up CIN · spread CIN -3 · O/U Under 52.5

Straight Up

✅ WIN

Spread

PASS

Over / Under

✅ WIN

Straight UpJAX✅ WIN

SpreadBAL +8.5PASS

TotalOver 40.5✅ WIN

Game record (official markets): 2–0

Locked lines used for grading — spread JAX -8.5 · total 40.5 · pregame confidence 86% · recommendation PLAY

PLP IQ picks — straight up JAX · spread BAL +8.5 · O/U Over 40.5

Historical predictions and their locked sportsbook lines are permanent and are never edited, replaced or deleted. All results are probabilistic model outcomes, not guarantees.