Track PLP IQ straight-up, ATS and over/under prediction results. Every pick below was locked before kickoff and graded against the sportsbook line stored at that moment.
Prediction storage & final-score grading online · last successful update Nov 9, 6:47 AM
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Confidence Calibration
Stated confidence vs. what that band really produced. PLP IQ shrinks future confidence toward these numbers once a band has a meaningful sample.
Market
No graded ATS predictions yet — calibration starts once games finish.
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Market
Outcome
Official PLP IQ Record
2026 Regular Season
Games Graded
14
completed NFL games
Market Predictions Graded
42
up to 3 per game
Official Plays
24
graded PLAY markets
Official Best Plays — Overall
15–9–0
62.5%
24 official recommended plays graded (BET + LEAN) · 0 pending · 18 passed and excluded
Win % = wins ÷ (wins + losses). Pushes never count either way.
Official Breakdown By Market
Straight Up
9–4–0
69.2%
13 graded · 0 pending
Spread / ATS
3–3–0
50%
6 graded · 0 pending
Totals
3–2–0
60%
5 graded · 0 pending
These three official records add up exactly to the Official Best Plays record above (15 wins · 9 losses · 0 pushes). Markets where the official PLP IQ pick was PASS or a non-actionable LEAN are tracked but never enter this record.
Raw Model Performance — All Graded Markets
Straight Up
9–5–0
64.3%
14 graded · 0 pending
Spread
7–7–0
50%
14 graded · 0 pending
Totals
8–6–0
57.1%
14 graded · 0 pending
All Markets
24–18–0
57.1%
42 graded · 0 pending
Raw-model statistics only — all 42 graded market predictions across 14 completed games, including the markets PLP IQ passed on. Not the official PLP IQ record.
2026 Regular Season PLP IQ Performance
Games Graded
14
completed NFL games
Market Predictions Graded
42
up to 3 per game
Official Plays
24
graded PLAY markets
Official Best Plays
15–9–0
62.5%
24 recommended official markets graded (BET + LEAN) — only PASS excluded
Official Record By Market
Straight Up
9-4-0
69.2%
Point Spread
3-3-0
50%
ATS
Over / Under
3-2-0
60%
Raw Model Performance — All Graded Markets
Straight Up
9-5-0
64.3%
Point Spread
7-7-0
50%
ATS
Over / Under
8-6-0
57.1%
By Recommendation Strength
Play
5-1-0
83.3%
Lean
10-8-0
55.6%
Pass
9-9-0
50%
By Pregame Confidence
<55%
5-1-0
83.3%
55-64%
3-6-0
33.3%
65-74%
9-6-0
60%
75%+
7-5-0
58.3%
Best Plays By Wager Type
Moneyline
5-1-0
83.3%
Spread
0-0-0
—
Over
0-0-0
—
Under
0-0-0
—
Volume & Classification
Games Graded
14
Market Predictions Graded
42
Official Plays
24
Games Pending
0
Markets Pending
0
Passed Markets
18
Raw PLAY
6
Raw LEAN
18
Raw PASS
18
Avg IQ on Winning Plays
73
Avg Conf on Winning Plays
78.2%
Play Streak
4W
Recent Official Plays
Last 10 Plays
5-1-0
83.3%
Last 20 Plays
5-1-0
83.3%
Tracked, Not Official
LEAN (tracked)
10-8-0
55.6%
PASS (tracked)
9-9-0
50%
LEAN and PASS outcomes are graded internally so the model can be evaluated, but they never count toward the official PLP IQ Best Plays record.
Projected Score Accuracy
Average distance between PLP IQ's locked projected score and the real final score.
Avg Team Score Err
8
Avg Total Err
10.9
Avg Margin Err
11.3
Weekly Performance
Week 8
Official record · 0 markets pending
15–9–0
Games Graded
14
completed NFL games
Market Predictions Graded
42
up to 3 per game
Official Plays
24
graded PLAY markets
Official Record By Market
Straight Up
9-4-0
69.2%
Spread
3-3-0
50%
Total
3-2-0
60%
Raw Model — All Graded Markets
Straight Up
9-5-0
64.3%
Spread
7-7-0
50%
Total
8-6-0
57.1%
Completed Games
Straight Up
❌ LOSS
Spread
PASS
Over / Under
PASS
Straight UpSEA❌ LOSS
SpreadSEA -3PASS
TotalUnder 46.5PASS
Game record (official markets): 0–1
Locked lines used for grading — spread SEA -3 · total 46.5 · pregame confidence 62% · recommendation LEAN
PLP IQ picks — straight up SEA · spread SEA -3 · O/U Under 46.5
Straight Up
✅ WIN
Spread
PASS
Over / Under
PASS
Straight UpWSH✅ WIN
SpreadWSH -6PASS
TotalUnder 40.5PASS
Game record (official markets): 1–0
Locked lines used for grading — spread WSH -6 · total 40.5 · pregame confidence 52% · recommendation LEAN
PLP IQ picks — straight up WSH · spread WSH -6 · O/U Under 40.5
Straight Up
PASS
Spread
PASS
Over / Under
PASS
Straight UpKCPASS
SpreadDEN +1.5PASS
TotalOver 41.5PASS
Game record (official markets): 0–0
Locked lines used for grading — spread KC -1.5 · total 41.5 · pregame confidence 52% · recommendation PASS
PLP IQ picks — straight up KC · spread DEN +1.5 · O/U Over 41.5
Straight Up
✅ WIN
Spread
PASS
Over / Under
PASS
Straight UpNE✅ WIN
SpreadNE -7PASS
TotalUnder 41.5PASS
Game record (official markets): 1–0
Locked lines used for grading — spread NE -7 · total 41.5 · pregame confidence 66% · recommendation LEAN
PLP IQ picks — straight up NE · spread NE -7 · O/U Under 41.5
Straight Up
✅ WIN
Spread
PASS
Over / Under
✅ WIN
Straight UpLAR✅ WIN
SpreadLAR -6.5PASS
TotalUnder 45.5✅ WIN
Game record (official markets): 2–0
Locked lines used for grading — spread LAR -6.5 · total 45.5 · pregame confidence 68% · recommendation LEAN
PLP IQ picks — straight up LAR · spread LAR -6.5 · O/U Under 45.5
Straight Up
✅ WIN
Spread
PASS
Over / Under
❌ LOSS
Straight UpBUF✅ WIN
SpreadBUF -3PASS
TotalOver 54.5❌ LOSS
Game record (official markets): 1–1
Locked lines used for grading — spread BUF -3 · total 54.5 · pregame confidence 75% · recommendation PLAY
PLP IQ picks — straight up BUF · spread BUF -3 · O/U Over 54.5
Straight Up
❌ LOSS
Spread
PASS
Over / Under
PASS
Straight UpNYJ❌ LOSS
SpreadNYJ -1.5PASS
TotalUnder 46.5PASS
Game record (official markets): 0–1
Locked lines used for grading — spread NYJ -1.5 · total 46.5 · pregame confidence 68% · recommendation LEAN
PLP IQ picks — straight up NYJ · spread NYJ -1.5 · O/U Under 46.5
Straight Up
✅ WIN
Spread
❌ LOSS
Over / Under
PASS
Straight UpCIN✅ WIN
SpreadCIN -13.5❌ LOSS
TotalUnder 45.5PASS
Game record (official markets): 1–1
Locked lines used for grading — spread CIN -13.5 · total 45.5 · pregame confidence 86% · recommendation PLAY
PLP IQ picks — straight up CIN · spread CIN -13.5 · O/U Under 45.5
Straight Up
✅ WIN
Spread
✅ WIN
Over / Under
PASS
Straight UpJAX✅ WIN
SpreadJAX -10✅ WIN
TotalOver 45.5PASS
Game record (official markets): 2–0
Locked lines used for grading — spread JAX -10 · total 45.5 · pregame confidence 86% · recommendation PLAY
PLP IQ picks — straight up JAX · spread JAX -10 · O/U Over 45.5
Straight Up
✅ WIN
Spread
✅ WIN
Over / Under
✅ WIN
Straight UpTB✅ WIN
SpreadTB -1.5✅ WIN
TotalUnder 43.5✅ WIN
Game record (official markets): 3–0
Locked lines used for grading — spread TB -1.5 · total 43.5 · pregame confidence 71% · recommendation PLAY
PLP IQ picks — straight up TB · spread TB -1.5 · O/U Under 43.5
Straight Up
❌ LOSS
Spread
❌ LOSS
Over / Under
PASS
Straight UpMIN❌ LOSS
SpreadMIN +3❌ LOSS
TotalUnder 46.5PASS
Game record (official markets): 0–2
Locked lines used for grading — spread DET -3 · total 46.5 · pregame confidence 56% · recommendation LEAN
PLP IQ picks — straight up MIN · spread MIN +3 · O/U Under 46.5
Straight Up
❌ LOSS
Spread
❌ LOSS
Over / Under
✅ WIN
Straight UpDAL❌ LOSS
SpreadDAL -7❌ LOSS
TotalOver 54.5✅ WIN
Game record (official markets): 1–2
Locked lines used for grading — spread DAL -7 · total 54.5 · pregame confidence 82% · recommendation PLAY
PLP IQ picks — straight up DAL · spread DAL -7 · O/U Over 54.5
Straight Up
✅ WIN
Spread
PASS
Over / Under
PASS
Straight UpPIT✅ WIN
SpreadCLE +3.5PASS
TotalUnder 38.5PASS
Game record (official markets): 1–0
Locked lines used for grading — spread PIT -3.5 · total 38.5 · pregame confidence 59% · recommendation LEAN
PLP IQ picks — straight up PIT · spread CLE +3.5 · O/U Under 38.5
Straight Up
✅ WIN
Spread
✅ WIN
Over / Under
❌ LOSS
Straight UpGB✅ WIN
SpreadGB -3.5✅ WIN
TotalOver 47.5❌ LOSS
Game record (official markets): 2–1
Locked lines used for grading — spread GB -3.5 · total 47.5 · pregame confidence 73% · recommendation PLAY
PLP IQ picks — straight up GB · spread GB -3.5 · O/U Over 47.5
Historical predictions and their locked sportsbook lines are permanent and are never edited, replaced or deleted. All results are probabilistic model outcomes, not guarantees.
PLP IQ is not a sportsbook and does not accept bets or wagers. Predictions, ratings, and analysis are provided for informational and entertainment purposes only, and contest entry is free.
PLP IQ is an independent prediction platform and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by the National Football League or any NFL team.