PLP IQ — Play • Lean • Pass

🏆 NFL Prediction Results & Performance

Track PLP IQ straight-up, ATS and over/under prediction results. Every pick below was locked before kickoff and graded against the sportsbook line stored at that moment.

Prediction storage & final-score grading online · last successful update Nov 9, 6:47 AM

Permanent locked record

Timestamped Prediction Ledger

Loading locked record…

Confidence Calibration

Stated confidence vs. what that band really produced. PLP IQ shrinks future confidence toward these numbers once a band has a meaningful sample.

Market

No graded ATS predictions yet — calibration starts once games finish.

Filters

Week

Classification

Market

Outcome

Official PLP IQ Record

2026 Regular Season

Games Graded

14

completed NFL games

Market Predictions Graded

42

up to 3 per game

Official Plays

24

graded PLAY markets

Official Best Plays — Overall

15–9–0

62.5%

24 official recommended plays graded (BET + LEAN) · 0 pending · 18 passed and excluded

Win % = wins ÷ (wins + losses). Pushes never count either way.

Official Breakdown By Market

Straight Up

9–4–0

69.2%

13 graded · 0 pending

Spread / ATS

3–3–0

50%

6 graded · 0 pending

Totals

3–2–0

60%

5 graded · 0 pending

These three official records add up exactly to the Official Best Plays record above (15 wins · 9 losses · 0 pushes). Markets where the official PLP IQ pick was PASS or a non-actionable LEAN are tracked but never enter this record.

Raw Model Performance — All Graded Markets

Straight Up

9–5–0

64.3%

14 graded · 0 pending

Spread

7–7–0

50%

14 graded · 0 pending

Totals

8–6–0

57.1%

14 graded · 0 pending

All Markets

24–18–0

57.1%

42 graded · 0 pending

Raw-model statistics only — all 42 graded market predictions across 14 completed games, including the markets PLP IQ passed on. Not the official PLP IQ record.

2026 Regular Season PLP IQ Performance

Games Graded

14

completed NFL games

Market Predictions Graded

42

up to 3 per game

Official Plays

24

graded PLAY markets

Official Best Plays

15–9–0

62.5%

24 recommended official markets graded (BET + LEAN) — only PASS excluded

Official Record By Market

Straight Up

9-4-0

69.2%

Point Spread

3-3-0

50%

ATS

Over / Under

3-2-0

60%

Raw Model Performance — All Graded Markets

Straight Up

9-5-0

64.3%

Point Spread

7-7-0

50%

ATS

Over / Under

8-6-0

57.1%

By Recommendation Strength

Play

5-1-0

83.3%

Lean

10-8-0

55.6%

Pass

9-9-0

50%

By Pregame Confidence

<55%

5-1-0

83.3%

55-64%

3-6-0

33.3%

65-74%

9-6-0

60%

75%+

7-5-0

58.3%

Best Plays By Wager Type

Moneyline

5-1-0

83.3%

Spread

0-0-0

—

Over

0-0-0

—

Under

0-0-0

—

Volume & Classification

Games Graded

14

Market Predictions Graded

42

Official Plays

24

Games Pending

0

Markets Pending

0

Passed Markets

18

Raw PLAY

6

Raw LEAN

18

Raw PASS

18

Avg IQ on Winning Plays

73

Avg Conf on Winning Plays

78.2%

Play Streak

4W

Recent Official Plays

Last 10 Plays

5-1-0

83.3%

Last 20 Plays

5-1-0

83.3%

Tracked, Not Official

LEAN (tracked)

10-8-0

55.6%

PASS (tracked)

9-9-0

50%

LEAN and PASS outcomes are graded internally so the model can be evaluated, but they never count toward the official PLP IQ Best Plays record.

Projected Score Accuracy

Average distance between PLP IQ's locked projected score and the real final score.

Avg Team Score Err

8

Avg Total Err

10.9

Avg Margin Err

11.3

Weekly Performance

Week 8

Official record · 0 markets pending

15–9–0

Games Graded

14

completed NFL games

Market Predictions Graded

42

up to 3 per game

Official Plays

24

graded PLAY markets

Official Record By Market

Straight Up

9-4-0

69.2%

Spread

3-3-0

50%

Total

3-2-0

60%

Raw Model — All Graded Markets

Straight Up

9-5-0

64.3%

Spread

7-7-0

50%

Total

8-6-0

57.1%

Completed Games

Straight Up

❌ LOSS

Spread

PASS

Over / Under

PASS
Straight UpSEA❌ LOSS
SpreadSEA -3PASS
TotalUnder 46.5PASS

Game record (official markets): 0–1

Locked lines used for grading — spread SEA -3 · total 46.5 · pregame confidence 62% · recommendation LEAN

PLP IQ picks — straight up SEA · spread SEA -3 · O/U Under 46.5

Straight Up

✅ WIN

Spread

PASS

Over / Under

PASS
Straight UpWSH✅ WIN
SpreadWSH -6PASS
TotalUnder 40.5PASS

Game record (official markets): 1–0

Locked lines used for grading — spread WSH -6 · total 40.5 · pregame confidence 52% · recommendation LEAN

PLP IQ picks — straight up WSH · spread WSH -6 · O/U Under 40.5

Straight Up

PASS

Spread

PASS

Over / Under

PASS
Straight UpKCPASS
SpreadDEN +1.5PASS
TotalOver 41.5PASS

Game record (official markets): 0–0

Locked lines used for grading — spread KC -1.5 · total 41.5 · pregame confidence 52% · recommendation PASS

PLP IQ picks — straight up KC · spread DEN +1.5 · O/U Over 41.5

Straight Up

✅ WIN

Spread

PASS

Over / Under

PASS
Straight UpNE✅ WIN
SpreadNE -7PASS
TotalUnder 41.5PASS

Game record (official markets): 1–0

Locked lines used for grading — spread NE -7 · total 41.5 · pregame confidence 66% · recommendation LEAN

PLP IQ picks — straight up NE · spread NE -7 · O/U Under 41.5

Straight Up

✅ WIN

Spread

PASS

Over / Under

✅ WIN
Straight UpLAR✅ WIN
SpreadLAR -6.5PASS
TotalUnder 45.5✅ WIN

Game record (official markets): 2–0

Locked lines used for grading — spread LAR -6.5 · total 45.5 · pregame confidence 68% · recommendation LEAN

PLP IQ picks — straight up LAR · spread LAR -6.5 · O/U Under 45.5

Straight Up

✅ WIN

Spread

PASS

Over / Under

❌ LOSS
Straight UpBUF✅ WIN
SpreadBUF -3PASS
TotalOver 54.5❌ LOSS

Game record (official markets): 1–1

Locked lines used for grading — spread BUF -3 · total 54.5 · pregame confidence 75% · recommendation PLAY

PLP IQ picks — straight up BUF · spread BUF -3 · O/U Over 54.5

Straight Up

❌ LOSS

Spread

PASS

Over / Under

PASS
Straight UpNYJ❌ LOSS
SpreadNYJ -1.5PASS
TotalUnder 46.5PASS

Game record (official markets): 0–1

Locked lines used for grading — spread NYJ -1.5 · total 46.5 · pregame confidence 68% · recommendation LEAN

PLP IQ picks — straight up NYJ · spread NYJ -1.5 · O/U Under 46.5

Straight Up

✅ WIN

Spread

❌ LOSS

Over / Under

PASS
Straight UpCIN✅ WIN
SpreadCIN -13.5❌ LOSS
TotalUnder 45.5PASS

Game record (official markets): 1–1

Locked lines used for grading — spread CIN -13.5 · total 45.5 · pregame confidence 86% · recommendation PLAY

PLP IQ picks — straight up CIN · spread CIN -13.5 · O/U Under 45.5

Straight Up

✅ WIN

Spread

✅ WIN

Over / Under

PASS
Straight UpJAX✅ WIN
SpreadJAX -10✅ WIN
TotalOver 45.5PASS

Game record (official markets): 2–0

Locked lines used for grading — spread JAX -10 · total 45.5 · pregame confidence 86% · recommendation PLAY

PLP IQ picks — straight up JAX · spread JAX -10 · O/U Over 45.5

Straight Up

✅ WIN

Spread

✅ WIN

Over / Under

✅ WIN
Straight UpTB✅ WIN
SpreadTB -1.5✅ WIN
TotalUnder 43.5✅ WIN

Game record (official markets): 3–0

Locked lines used for grading — spread TB -1.5 · total 43.5 · pregame confidence 71% · recommendation PLAY

PLP IQ picks — straight up TB · spread TB -1.5 · O/U Under 43.5

Straight Up

❌ LOSS

Spread

❌ LOSS

Over / Under

PASS
Straight UpMIN❌ LOSS
SpreadMIN +3❌ LOSS
TotalUnder 46.5PASS

Game record (official markets): 0–2

Locked lines used for grading — spread DET -3 · total 46.5 · pregame confidence 56% · recommendation LEAN

PLP IQ picks — straight up MIN · spread MIN +3 · O/U Under 46.5

Straight Up

❌ LOSS

Spread

❌ LOSS

Over / Under

✅ WIN
Straight UpDAL❌ LOSS
SpreadDAL -7❌ LOSS
TotalOver 54.5✅ WIN

Game record (official markets): 1–2

Locked lines used for grading — spread DAL -7 · total 54.5 · pregame confidence 82% · recommendation PLAY

PLP IQ picks — straight up DAL · spread DAL -7 · O/U Over 54.5

Straight Up

✅ WIN

Spread

PASS

Over / Under

PASS
Straight UpPIT✅ WIN
SpreadCLE +3.5PASS
TotalUnder 38.5PASS

Game record (official markets): 1–0

Locked lines used for grading — spread PIT -3.5 · total 38.5 · pregame confidence 59% · recommendation LEAN

PLP IQ picks — straight up PIT · spread CLE +3.5 · O/U Under 38.5

Straight Up

✅ WIN

Spread

✅ WIN

Over / Under

❌ LOSS
Straight UpGB✅ WIN
SpreadGB -3.5✅ WIN
TotalOver 47.5❌ LOSS

Game record (official markets): 2–1

Locked lines used for grading — spread GB -3.5 · total 47.5 · pregame confidence 73% · recommendation PLAY

PLP IQ picks — straight up GB · spread GB -3.5 · O/U Over 47.5

Historical predictions and their locked sportsbook lines are permanent and are never edited, replaced or deleted. All results are probabilistic model outcomes, not guarantees.

PLP IQ is not a sportsbook and does not accept bets or wagers. Predictions, ratings, and analysis are provided for informational and entertainment purposes only, and contest entry is free.

PLP IQ is an independent prediction platform and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by the National Football League or any NFL team.

Official Rules · Privacy Policy · Terms of Use · Contact · Owner sign-in